Monday, 11 August 2014

Best Goalscoring Defenders in the Premier League #FPL

With the 2014/2015 season fast approaching, I thought it best to once again crunch some numbers with our bespoke algorithm.  I wanted to know who was the "best pound-for-pound" goalscoring defender in the Premier League.  More precisely, from the last two Premier League seasons (since 2012/2013).  In my estimation a strike rate of 10% or more (or thereabouts) is exceptional for a defender.  In producing the aforementioned results I looked at a number of factors such as the first 10 upcoming Gameweek fixtures of each player (up to the first week of November 2014), goals/strike rates since 12/13, 14/15 starting prices and latest ownership which amalgamated into producing the FPLH Algorithm scores.  Please note; our algorithm score doesn't factor in non-Premier League goals, any assists, injuries, potential suspensions or possible squad rotation risk.

Here are our results:

Click to view in full
Top 5 "Algorithm Score" Players:

1. Jose Fonte
2. Martin Skrtel
3. John Terry
4. Steven Caulker
5. Leighton Baines

Total Value:  £30M

Top 5 Players - "Best Attributes":

1. Jose Fonte (FPLH Algorithm Score).
2. Leighton Baines (Most Goals).
3. Martin Skrtel (Best Strike Rate).
4. Phil Bardsley (Best Differential).
5. Steven Caulker (Cheapest Price*)

Total Value: £28.5M
*Joint cheapest with Bardsley in our list.

Honourable Mentions (Not in our list):

1. Ben Davies.
2. Dejan Lovren.
3. Gareth McAuley.
4. Jan Vertonghen.
5. Ellaquim Mangala.

I know that the results will come as a surprise for many.  But bare in mind they give a favourable bias to goals scored by defenders in the PL over the last two seasons.  I didn't even bother to think about Fonte till I crunched the numbers, but I might try and fit him into my team now.  So now you know...  Don't delay and get tinkering!