Thursday, 29 November 2012

FPL Hints - Gameweek 15

FPLH's GW 15 Team*

Transfers: Hazard (OUT) / Walcott (IN)

*FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter and Facebook accounts.


Team Selection Reasoning


Folks, I won't bore you with a long article this GW.  My Sess captain/differential choice didn't pay off in GW14 and yes I should have stuck with safe old RVP as cpt.  For GW15 I have decided to sell Hazard for Walcott, due to the reasons stated below.  He may not be at Arsenal next season, but I am sure he will sign off in style.  27+ FPL points in his last 3 matches conveys his talent.

Recommended Player for Gameweek 15
  
Theo Walcott

Only owned by 2% of FPL Managers - Differential!
Arsenal have fairly good upcoming league fixtures
Has scored 2 goals in his last 2 league starts
Has proven Premier League pedigree
At £8.7M he is a relative bargain

An Ageing Kid Dynamite


FPLH's Hot Picks XI for GW 15

  de Gea (MNU)

  Vermaelen (ARS)
Kompany (MNC)
    Rafael (MNU)

Walcott (ARS)
Silva (MNC)
Sterling (LIV)
  Morrison (WBA)

Tevez / vc (MNC)
  Van Persie (MNU)
  Suarez / c (LIV)

Subs:
  
  Hart (MNC)
Cazorla (ARS)
Ridgewell (WBA)
  Garrido (NOR)


5/15 Hot Picks' feature in FPLH's GW 15 Team

Monday, 26 November 2012

FPL Hints - Gameweek 14

FPLH's GW 14 Team*

Transfers: Nolan (OUT) / Sessegnon (IN)

*FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter and Facebook accounts.
Team Selection Reasoning

Ok folks, guilty as charged, I shouldn't have sold Defoe!  Murphy's law and all that.  To be honest it was a low scoring GW and I got lucky to score higher than the average and rise in the rankings.  You may be astounded as to why this post is going out now, if you haven't already realised, GW 14 starts tomorrow!  

I have made one change.  I have sold Nolan for Sessegnon simply due to the fact the former's fixtures will become more difficult and the latter's are more interesting as follows:

GW 14 - QPR (H) - Very High goal/assist scoring potential
GW 15 - Norwich (A) - Moderate goal/assist scoring potential
DGW 16 - Chelsea (H) & Reading (H) - Very High goal/assist scoring potential
GW 17 - Man Utd (A) - Low goal/assist scoring potential
GW 18 - Southampton (A) - Very High goal/assist scoring potential

If I am not mistaken, Sessegnon operates in the hole behind the striker.  He is capable of both scoring and assisting.  Despite having a barren spell for most of the season he has finally hit some form.  1.4% ownership (differential), good upcoming fixtures and his proven attacking pedigree are the reasons why I signed him. 

I was gutted that Valencia was sidelined last GW, despite buying and championing him.  He probably won't play this GW either, but just in case, I have kept him in my starting XI with Sterling as the auto-sub.  Other than that, I have subbed Riise (facing Chelsea) in place of Davies (at home to WBA).  I expect neither to keep a clean sheet, but think Davies may have a slightly better chance than Riise.

I have decided to captain Sessegnon due to the potential rewards available if he succeeds, with RVP demoted to vice-captain after his fail against QPR.

Recommended Player for Gameweek 14
  
Stephane Sessegnon

Scored twice and assisted once in his last two matches
Listed as a midfielder but plays as a de facto striker
  Sunderland have good upcoming league fixtures
At £7.3M he won't be listed any cheaper!

Sess est Magnifique!

FPLH's Hot Picks XI for GW 14

  de Gea (MNU)

  Cuellar (SUN)
Kompany (MNC)
    Rafael (MNU)

Bale (TOT)
Michu (SWA)
Silva (MNC)
Sessegnon / c (SUN)
  
Tevez / vc (MNC)
  Van Persie (MNU)
  Fletcher (SUN)

Subs:
  
  Begovic (STO)
Huth (STO)
  Lallana (SOT)
Clyne (SOT)

7/15 Hot Picks' feature in FPLH's GW 14 Team

Wednesday, 21 November 2012

FPL Hints - Gameweek 13

FPLH's GW 13 Team*

Transfers: Fellaini & Defoe (OUT) / Valencia & Fletcher (IN)

*FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter and Facebook accounts.

 Team Selection Reasoning

My GW 12 team ended up with the same score as my GW 11 team - 63.  Benching Ruddy, Defoe and having no City or Arsenal players didn't help my cause.  Nonetheless with 2 free transfers I thought it best to shake up my team for GW 13.  I have sold Defoe, as Adebayor's return from injury seems to be getting him more game time.  I was looking for a "sole-striker / sole-goal threat" to replace him and decided to bring in Fletcher.  He is Sunderland's top goal scorer this season and has some interesting upcoming fixtures:

GW 13 - West Brom (H) - High goal scoring potential
GW 14 - QPR (H) - Very High goal scoring potential
GW 15 - Norwich (A) - Moderate goal scoring potential
DGW 16 - Chelsea (H) & Reading (H) - Very High goal scoring potential
GW 17 - Man Utd (A) - Low goal scoring potential
GW 18 - Southampton (A) - Very High goal scoring potential

Sunderland are due a few more goals and the next few GWs sets up the perfect opportunity for Fletcher to achieve that.  He is only owned by 5.3% of gamers which almost makes him a differential.  Moreover, GW 16 in particular stands out as a bonus due to it being a DGW for Sunderland.

My other transfer may surprise some as it involved me selling Fellaini.  He has been fantastic this season, but with his suspension I had ample time to assess his upcoming fixtures which seem more difficult.  I decided to replace him with Valencia.  This was in part due to United's injuries in midfield (Kagawa and Nani seem to be out) and United have some interesting upcoming fixtures:

GW 13 - QPR (H) - Very High assist/goals potential
GW 14 West Ham (H) - High assist/goals potential
GW 15 - Reading (A) - Very High assist/goals potential
GW 16 - Man City (A) - Derby match/anything can happen
GW 17 - Sunderland (H) - Very High assist/goals potential

In my estimation Valencia will start United's upcoming league matches but could be subbed off during the second half of matches to allow game time for Giggs or others.  At the very worst Valencia will be used as super-sub which isn't too bad, but I think he is more likely to start and capitalise on the upcoming fixtures.  Valencia is more likely to assist than score.  Surprisingly it is the first time I have ever owned him.  I didn't pick him last season when he had a good run of games, opting for Nani instead.  Valencia is currently owned by 3.4% of gamers, which in my books makes him a differential.

Captaining Van Persie v QPR is a no brainer despite his fail v Norwich last week.  My vice captain is Valencia.

As for City or Arsenal players, I still don't have any of them in my team...

Recommended Player for Gameweek 13
  
Antonio Valencia

Assisted 14 times in the Premier League last season
Will be key in midfield with Kagawa and Nani out
United have good upcoming league fixtures
At £8.6M he is definitely a bargain!

Fast as Lightning

FPLH's Hot Picks XI for GW 13

  Howard (EVE)

  Cuellar (SUN)
Baines (EVE)
    Rafael (MNU)

Cazorla (ARS)
Sterling (LIV)
Valencia / vc (MNU)
Sessegnon (SUN)
  
Fletcher (SUN)
  Van Persie / c (MNU)
  Suarez (LIV)

Subs:
  
  Begovic (STO)
Huth (STO)
  Michu (SWA)
Caulker (TOT)

9/15 Hot Picks' feature in FPLH's GW 13 Team

Friday, 16 November 2012

FPL Hints - Gameweek 12

FPLH's GW 12 Team*

Transfers:Vorm (OUT) / Ruddy (IN)

*FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter and Facebook accounts.

Team Selection Reasoning

I'm back. I am pleased to say that International football is over for a good few months now, just enough time to recover from Zlatan's wonder goal!  Back to real fantasy football... 
I have only made one change this GW. In doing so I have saved £0.5M, with £2.2M in total banked.  I sold the injured Vorm for Ruddy.  This move may come as a surprise, but he has kept 4 clean sheets (joint 2nd best).  I intend to have him as a back up to Begovic but may use him as my first choice keeper in GW 15 (Home - Sunderland) and GW 17 (Home - Wigan) respectively.  I don't intend to make any changes to my goal keeping combo till at least GW 20.

With my other spare transfer I was very tempted to shop around for a striker to replace Defoe.  But then realised that GWs 13 and 14 are only separated by two days, which could result in players being rested and the transfer being wasted.  Moreover, My 5 midfielders seem to have good upcoming fixtures this GW and with Defoe being a doubt I thought it best to go 3-5-2 and give them all a run in the first team.

On a side note, I was recently reminded of an old FPL ace transfer tactic - The Differential.  I will explain more about it in my FAQs page shortly.  But I think now is the time to shop around for differentials as FPL teams look more and more similar.  Narrow margins will be the difference between you winning your private league or finishing mid-table, thus look out for Premier League footballers that are not owned by many!

Recommended Player for Gameweek 12
  
Luis Suarez

Wigan have conceded 1.6 goals per game in the league so far
Suarez has scored 3 & assisted 2 in his last 4 PL matches
At 10.0 he is still cheaper than other top forwards
 Remains Liverpool's sole de facto goal threat

Generates Headlines

FPLH's Hot Picks XI for GW 12

  Hart (MNC)

  Kompany (MNC)
Baines (EVE)
    Rafael (MNU)

Cazorla (ARS)
Sterling (LIV)
Fellaini (EVE)
Ben Arfa (NEW)
  
Ba (NEW)
  Tevez / cpt (MNC)
  Suarez / vc(WIG)

Subs:
  
Schwarzer (FUL)
Johnson (LIV)
Michu (SWA)
Riise (FUL)

6/15 Hot Picks' feature in FPLH's GW 12 Team

Thursday, 8 November 2012

FPL Hints - Gameweek 11

FPLH's GW 11 Team*

Transfers: None

*FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter and Facebook accounts.
Team Selection Reasoning

Ok folks, I admit I had a bad GW10 and shouldn't have left Fellaini on the bench.  However, that doesn't warrant panic changes.  In fact I have bought no reinforcements for GW 11 as I would prefer to have a free transfer at hand for GW 12.  The reason being there will be international football in-between the next two GWs and I would prefer to have a free transfer at hand in case of injuries.

Fellaini has been an enigma for me this season.  When I play him he doesn't do well, when I bench him he does do well.  Ouch!  I am hoping to buck that trend by playing him at home to Sunderland.  Not only that, but he is my vice-captain.  Sterling loses his place and is demoted to sub 1 as he faces Chelsea at home.  Aside from that Davies and Demel swap places on the bench.

My captain for Gameweek 11 is the man of the moment - Robin Van Persie.  He has bagged 8 goals and 4 assists in the Premier League so far this season.  He only made a substitute appearance (and scored!) yesterday which hopefully means he will definitely start against Villa.  United would not want to muck about, especially as they currently lead in the Premier League.

Recommended Player for Gameweek 11

Robin Van Persie 

He has scored or assisted in 8 out of 10 league matches this season.
Scored 30 goals and assisted 13 in the league last season.
He may be expensive (13.5) but is definitely worth it!
By far the most consistent forward in the league.
 
Premier League Heavyweight

FPLH's Hot Picks XI for GW 11

  Begovic (STO)

  Huth (STO)
Baines (EVE)
    Rafael (MNU)

Cazorla (ARS)
Michu (SWA)
Fellaini / vc (EVE)
Hazard (CHE)
  
Ba (NEW)
Van Persie / cpt (MNU)
  Crouch (STO)

Subs:
  
dea Gea (MNU)
Kompany (MNC)
Cahill (CHE)
Lallana (SOT)

7/15 Hot Picks' feature in FPLH's GW 11 Team

Thursday, 1 November 2012

FPL Hints - Gameweek 10

FPLH's GW 10 Team*

Transfers (OUT): O'Brien and Podolski
Transfers (IN): Huth and Defoe

*FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter and Facebook accounts.

Team Selection Reasoning

I did it!  After four Gameweeks of having an extra transfer at hand I have finally used it.  I wanted to get rid of O'Brien and mulled over many defensive options.  I wanted an attacking defender and was close to signing Baines.  However that would have been pricey.  Instead I went for Huth, which could be a risk as I am doubling up with Begovic.  But the fact is that Stoke's fixtures are reasonable for the next 8 weeks or so (see previous post).  Moreover Huth possesses a formidable attacking threat.  He may not have scored this season, but I am confident he is due a goal - his league strike rate for Stoke is 10% + which would make any central midfielder or winger proud.  

As for the other transfer that involved ditching Podolski.  Despite being listed as a striker he has been playing as a de facto midfielder at Arsenal, with Giroud as the out-and-out striker.  That was a put off and his performance v QPR was the final straw.  Thus I decided to replace him with an on-form goal poacher, step in Jermain Defoe.  He on the other hand has been fantastic this season.  A regular run in the first team has meant that he has bagged 5 goals and 3 assists in 9 Gameweeks.  I was close to buying him last week at 7.8 but in the end forked out an extra 0.2 for waiting a week later.  So far this season Defoe has proved he can score against small teams, big teams and in derby matches.  With this in mind his upcoming juicy fixtures are of interest as follows:

GW 10 - Wigan (H) - High goal scoring potential v a leaky defence
GW 11 - Man City (A) - Mild goal scoring potential v an inconsistent defence
GW 12 - Arsenal (A) - Moderate goal scoring potential v an inconsistent defence + derby
GW 13 - West Ham (H) - High goal scoring potential + derby
GW 14 - Liverpool (H) - Moderate goal scoring potential v transitional defence
GW 15 - Fulham (A) - High  goal scoring potential + derby

Wigan have conceded almost 2 goals per away match this season, which means that I will captain Defoe.  As for the vice-captain's armband I have decided to give that to RVP following his heroics against Chelsea.

Minimum ideal gameweek 10 points:
50
Potential ideal gameweek 10 points:
70

Recommended Player for Gameweek 10

Jermain Defoe

(Tottenham)

Why?

Scored 5 goals in 9 league matches this season
Is currently Tottenham's main striker
Priced at a cheap 8.0 - Bargain!
Proven attacking threat

Attacking Assassin

FPLH's Hot Picks XI for GW 10

  Mignolet (SUN)

  Walker (TOT)
  Riise (FUL)
  Rafael (MNU)

Mata (CHE)
  Bale (TOT)
 Morrison (WBA)
Sterling (LIV)

  Defoe / cpt (TOT)
Van Persie / vc (MNU)
  Fletcher (SUN)

Subs:

  Begovic (STO)
  Olsson (WBA)
  Huth (STO)
Hazard (CHE)

8/15 Hot Picks' feature in FPLH's GW 10 Team