Sunday, 30 November 2014

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 14



Latest Rank: 23,234
  di Maria/Costa* OUT / Cazorla/Aguero** IN
-4 HIT
New Bank Balance: £0.0M 

*If I didn't sell them, my team would have been fairly hollow for GW14.  Besides, I already have MUFC & CFC coverage at hand.

**Both players have a good run of upcoming games, have shown form of late and possess attacking prowess.

Why did I buy Santi?
 
2nd best "Shots on target" of any midfielder since 22/11/14.
 3rd best "Final Third Passes" of any midfielder this season.
4th best "Shots on goal" of any midfielder this season.
8th best "ALI*" rating of any midfielder this season.
Scored 8 points in GW13 (assist & 2 Bonus pts).
 
Source: Asliga
*ALI rating is based on Asliga's Index for potency.
 
Why did I buy/captain Aguero?

Aguero is City's best FPL points scorer by far:

www.asliga.com

Aguero has scored almost half of City's total goals:

www.asliga.com

Aguero has been scoring a goal every 80.9 mins in 14/15.
He has gained "Fantasy Returns" in 9 games this season.
City need to catch up to Chelsea and Aguero's output is key.
 
Source: Asliga


Saturday, 29 November 2014

Exciting Match-Ups This Weekend


Southampton VS Manchester City

Undeniably, the Saints have amazed almost everyone with their brilliant form since the opening day of the season. As Liverpool stole most of their players, they went on to stealing the position they finished last season. The attention-grabbing question is will Ronald Koeman’s side prolong their unbeaten streak as they face a thorny string of matches with the big guns, beginning with Premier League holders Manchester City. The Citizens are two points behind their opponent and will be eyeing for full points to pile pressure on table toppers Chelsea. Against Swansea City, Manuel Pellegrini’s men had to work their socks off to grab the winner. Their talisman Yaya Toure and league's top scorer Sergio Aguero will certainly be their crucial stars once again. A surely entertaining game, as Southampton has won six games in their last eight matches whereas the visitors have scored in each of their away matches this season. Numerous fantasy premier league stars to face each other on Sunday!

Key Battles:
Toby Alderweireld vs Sergio Aguero
Victor Wanyama vs Yaya Toure
Graziano Pelle vs Vincent Kompany

Liverpool VS Stoke City

The Reds are currently having a dilemma, any opponents who play against them, being new comers like Crystal Palace or big teams, they all look more composed to clinch maximum points. Time is ticking for Brendan Rodgers as he has spent more than 100 million pounds on a group of misfits. Reports are murmuring around that if he fails to grab all three points against Stoke City, the next stage is walking papers. A do or die situation for the former Swansea caretaker. The bright side for the Reds is Rickie Lambert is progressively firing in goals plus Mamadou Sakho could feature to organize the defensive line. On the other hand, The Potters are right above Liverpool in the league table and need to improve this time after dreadfully losing to Burnley at home last weekend. The stats are favouring the home team as Stoke City have failed to win on their last 29 league visits to Anfield, however it  might be the best time to turn things around against a wobbly defense.

Key Battles:
Dejan Lovren vs Peter Crouch
Rickie Lambert vs Ryan Shawcross
Philippe Coutinho vs Charlie Adam

Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton

Both star studded teams with similar points in the table and determination to clinch the valuable Champions League qualification spot face off each other. Everton would be coming into the game with booming confidence as they are unbeaten in their last five, whereas Spurs came from behind to bring home maximum points from KC Stadium last weekend. It’s expected to be a fiery encounter to witness who has the bigger appetite for the Champions League. The Toffees should be extra alert at the back as they have kept just two clean sheets in their last 21 Barclays Premier League visits to London. Will Christian Eriksen once again rescue the home side or Lukaku to rifle in his 6th goal of the season?

Key Battles:
Nacer Chadli vs Leighton Baines
Romelu Lukaku vs Jan Vertonghen
Christian Eriksen vs Leon Osman


Friday, 28 November 2014

#FlyBuy - GW13

Read it and weep naysayers! FlyBuy is BACK WITH A BANG! After a season of frustration and misfires with my weekly pick, GW12 finally delivered, and delivered in style!


A risky pick saw me tip Aston Villa striker Gabby Agbonlahor to deliver, and last Monday evening he responded to my call and engaged "Beast Mode", not seen very often but devastatingly effective when he does. A 9 point haul put a smile on my face and vindicated my decision to stick with this feature through the lean times.


But that wasn't all. As you know, FlyBuy isn't just a one week pick. It's based on my projections for a 5 game period. I don't consult any Stats sites to do this, just good old fashioned gut feeling. It was brilliant to take a look at my last few picks and to see all but one also delivered in GW12.


EVERY SINGLE PICK since GW8 racked up decent FPL points returns. Assists for Lallana and Barkley and a goal for Stevan Jovetic saw me nearly pick up a FlyBuy full-house, with only Santi Cazorla letting me down.


So how do I consolidate this success? Well, ignoring the fact Cazorla has so far failed me, I've turned my attention back to Arsenal, and identified a couple of opportunities. The returning Olivier Giroud post-injury nearly got my vote for this week's pick, but I still think he may be gradually reintroduced from the bench by Wenger.


No, instead I have decided to go with FPL Gold from last season. 10 goals and 9 assists before injury took him away from inevitably achieving a 200+ point season. This year he started well with goals in GW1 and 2 before drifting off through a mixture of injury and poor form.


I think he is going to very soon return with some impact in terms of FPL returns and it could very well be this week away at West Brom. I'd love nothing more than the Baggies to be picked apart at the Borethorns, and this is the guy who could do it.


It is the second best Welsh midfielder in the world, Aaron Ramsey who gets handed the FlyBuy boots and a responsibility to keep my run going. Available for £8.7m from a season high of £9.1m and with an ownership % of 13.5% (of which many will now be Ghostship accounts).


If you can't afford Sanchez, and let's face it if you don't own him yet then the fact he rose in price again last night to £11m, then I'd suggest Ramsey is the way to go to get Arsenal coverage during their favourable run of fixtures that consists of: wba/SOU/sto/NEW/liv/QPR. That last game also happens to be taking place on Boxing Day - Aaron Ramsey's 24th birthday...


FLY


@meet_the_gadfly


FlyBuy picks to date (only takes into account 5 GWs)

GW1 - Calum Chambers (ARS) - Points: 1 / 0 / 8 / 1 / 5 
GW2 - Steven Pienaar (EVE) - Points: 1 / 0 (inj) / DNP / DNP / DNP
GW3 - Siem de Jong (NEW) - Points: 2 (inj) / DNP / DNP / DNP / DNP
GW4 - Marko Arnautovic (STO) - Points: DNP / 1 / 3 / 2 / 0
GW5 - Yaya Toure (MCY) - Points: 1 / 2 / 11 / 1 / 2
GW6 - Wilfried Bony (SWA) - Points: 1 / 6 / 7 / 13 / 1
GW7 - Kevin Nolan (WHU) - Points: 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1
GW8 - Adam Lallana (LIV) - Points: 3 / 3 / DNP / DNP / 5
GW9 - Ross Barkley (EVE) - Points: 1 / 3 / 2 / 5
GW10 - Santi Cazorla (ARS) - Points: 3 / 2 / 0
GW11 - Stevan Jovetic (MCY) - Points: DNP / 8
GW12 - Gabby Agbonlahor (AVL) - Points: 9

Thursday, 27 November 2014

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 13


Latest Rank: 28,646
  Forster/Pelle* OUT / Green/Rooney** IN
New Bank Balance: £0.3M 

*It doesn't make sense having too much So'ton coverage as their games get harder.

**Both players have a good run of upcoming games.

 
CAPTAIN 


This week's captain pick was selected by Asliga's stats.  So why did I captain Rooney?

Rooney is the captain of England and Manchester United
He has scored 5 goals in his last 3 matches.
Has FPL pedigree.

Despite not playing in 3 PL games this season, he is still Utd's top FPL pts scorer (FWD):

www.asliga.com 

Despite not playing in 3 PL games this season, he is still United's top goal scorer at home:

www.asliga.com

Best "ALI" rated MUFC player (Asliga Index) in Gameweek 12, which shows his potency:

www.asliga.com


---

ON A SIDE NOTE...


(Entries close at 11.30am GMT on 29/11/14)


ALSO...

 (It should only take one minute!)

Chief's Togga Draft Teams - Gameweek 13

www.playtogga.com

Friday, 21 November 2014

Marco’s Maverick – GW12 – Mame Biram Diouf

After another successful week on the maverick front with Charlie Austin bringing home the bacon against champions Manchester City and causing somewhat of a bandwagon. A two week sabbatical has since followed and a chance to recharge the batteries and go again leads us to the Potteries and a striker who originated from the other side of Manchester. It’s Stokes Mame Biram Diouf.

Owned by 0.6% of the FPL population, Diouf has somewhat gone under the radar as early shouts Krkic (who was nearly chosen) and Crouch seemed to live further up the pecking order for managers. The last few weeks have shown that Diouf is starting to reproduce some of the form that made him a success in the Bundesliga although he has endured a steady decline in ownership and that has seen his value fall from 6.5m to 6.2m.

Stoke though are a resilient bunch and will once again turn the Britannia into a fortress for the arrival of Burnley, Unbeaten in 3 at home and Burnley not won away all season all points to Mark Hughes’ men getting another 3 points and continuing their march up the table with Biram Diouf the focal point with a goal and assist in the last 2 games and with a resurgent Krkic supplying the ammunition.

Diouf is not one for the longer term though as trips to Anfield, Old Trafford and a home visit of Arsenal are next up for the Potters followed by a trip to Palace then the visit of Chelsea complete a nightmare few fixtures. They surely will be going all out for a win this week and a good performance against strugglers Burnley. The likes of Sakho are looking risky this week and Diouf could be the winning ticket in this week's raffle.

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 12


Latest Rank: 28,345
  Welbeck* OUT / Austin** IN
New Bank Balance: £1.8M 

*Could be muscled out by the likes of Giroud, Walcott & Sanchez in the coming weeks.

**Good upcoming games and has form on his side.

CAPTAIN 

This week's captain pick was selected by Asliga's stats.  So why did I captain Costa?

Costa plays for Chelsea.
Chelsea are top of the Premier League.
Chelsea have scored the most goals thus far.

Diego Costa is by far Chelsea's top scorer:

www.asliga.com
 
 Diego Costa is their most potent goal threat and has taken the most shots for them:

www.asliga.com

Diego Costa is Chelsea's top FPL points scorer at home this season:

www.asliga.com

Tuesday, 18 November 2014

#FlyBuy - GW12

Man alive, I DETEST the International Break! Meaningless friendlies against Third World opposition (Scotland) and the relentless amount of qualifiers to be played for a tournament that we have already guaranteed our participation, drive me wild! Of course, it doesn't take the brains of a rocket scientist to deduce that for me, it is the lack of FPL action that causes my frustration. It's more than that though, I just hate the fact that we do well in these games against mediocre opposition and fool ourselves into thinking we stand a chance of glory in the tournament proper. 

Anyway, I digress. It's FlyBuy we're talking about here, and after the first third of the season approaches its conclusion, I can only report that I've had an abysmal run. Pretty much like the team I am going to select my GW12 pick from. After a good start to the season, like the England team they fooled people into thinking they would continue to do well against opposition that matters. They didn't. They embarked on a run of wins and clean sheets against poor opponents, but then folded like a house of cards when the difficulty level increased. Like England.

The player in particular I am choosing also - somewhat bizarrely - has England credentials. I won't go as far as saying pedigree, but you get my meaning. He received 3 Caps, and actually had a goal disallowed on his debut, where he faced Germany away in Berlin. He played twice more; versus Spain and Belarus, the latter being the only competitive International in which he played.

Back to the present, and he has scored only two goals all season, in GW3 and 4 when he scored in the win over Hull, and the only goal of the game in an unexpected away win over Liverpool. He has a face like he has just lost a winning jackpot lottery ticket. Have you guessed who it is yet?

I'm referring to Aston Villa, and ex-England forward, Gabby Agbonlahor. With the continued suspension of main-man Benteke, he will hopefully regain his scoring touch over the next few weeks as Villa face Southampton (H), Burnley (A), Crystal Palace (A), Leicester (H) and West Brom (A). Agbonlahor and Villa need to get back to winning ways prior to the Xmas programme or they WILL get sucked into the relegation dogfight.

FLY

@meet_the_gadfly

FlyBuy picks to date (only takes into account 5 GWs)

GW1 - Calum Chambers (ARS) - Points: 1 / 0 / 8 / 1 / 5 
GW2 - Steven Pienaar (EVE) - Points: 1 / 0 (inj) / DNP / DNP / DNP
GW3 - Siem de Jong (NEW) - Points: 2 (inj) / DNP / DNP / DNP / DNP
GW4 - Marko Arnautovic (STO) - Points: DNP / 1 / 3 / 2 / 0
GW5 - Yaya Toure (MCY) - Points: 1 / 2 / 11 / 1 / 2
GW6 - Wilfried Bony (SWA) - Points: 1 / 6 / 7 / 13 / 1
GW7 - Kevin Nolan (WHU) - Points: 1 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 1
GW8 - Adam Lallana (LIV) - Points: 3 / 3 / DNP / DNP
GW9 - Ross Barkley (EVE) - Points: 1 / 3 / 2
GW10 - Santi Cazorla (ARS) - Points: 3 / 2
GW11 - Stevan Jovetic (MCY) - Points: DNP

Saturday, 8 November 2014

Battle Royal 2: Winter World Cup 2014



B A T T L E    R O Y A L     II


Folks, it's back!  In conjunction with @FPLDaily, I am pleased to announce that we are launching a new edition of our Fantasy Football "Battle Royal" competition.  We are expanding it to a new level with more entrants than before and with more fun to keep you excited during the Premier League's winter peak.  In some respects, this series will be more than a game - it is effectively a "World Cup" of sorts!  After all, it looks like Qatar will host a "Winter World Cup", so we thought it best to beat them to it by doing our own version - 8 years in advance!

Of course, "Battle Royal 2: Winter World Cup 2014" is an unofficial game and has its own rules.  If you recall from the first Battle Royal series, it is essentially a list-style weekly knockout competition, dependent on your FPL score for the week.  The same principles from the previous series apply, as follows:

"Scores will not roll over and will be reset for each Gameweek... There are no prizes - this competition is just for fun (and bragging rights!)."

Tie-break decider for those on same points will be confirmed by @FPLDaily

Duplicate entries are strictly forbidden and we reserve the right to remove such teams.

The competition will start in Gameweek 13 (29th November 2014) and run until Gameweek 20 (1st January 2015) - 8 games over a duration of 34 days!  Qualification criteria for each round will be as follows:

Round 1 - GW13 - Unlimited number of entries are allowed to enter (Top 200 qualify to Round 2).
Round 2 - GW14 - Competing for Top 150 slots.
Round 3 - GW15 - Competing for Top 125 slots.
Round 4 - GW16 - Competing for Top 100 slots.
Round 5 - GW17 - Competing for Top 75 slots.
Round 6 - GW18 - Competing for Top 50 slots.
Round 7 - GW19 - Competing for Top 10 slots.
Round 8 - GW20 - (FINAL) January 1st 2015 - There can only be one winner!

To enter our Battle Royal 2: Winter World Cup 2014 competition, please fill out the following form (& also share it accordingly with any FPL managers):


Competition Entry Form
*Entries are now CLOSED*


Entries close on 29th November (11.30am GMT).  We will not accept any new entries after this time.

We reserve the right to amend qualification (or any rules) subject to mitigating circumstances.  If you require clarification on any of our rules, simply contact us via Twitter, email or comment on this post.

In addition, round-by-round score updates will be generated via @FPLDaily.  They will appear on http://www.fpldaily.com/ - Please follow @FPLDaily and us (@FPLHINTS) on Twitter so that you are kept up to date with the competition.

And finally...


Good luck!

PLAYER PROFILE - Steven Gerrard

Position - Midfielder
Current FPL Price - £8.8 million

ATTRIBUTES & STATS

Never mind "the slip". Champions League winner, FA Cup winner, League Cup winner, UEFA Cup winner, UEFA Super Cup winner, Charity/Community Shield winner, former England captain and current Liverpool captain Steven Gerrard still has plenty in his locker.

Although Gerrard is not as young as he used to be, generally plays in a deeper role and is more reliant on set pieces to score and/or assist, he still posses excellent technique, passing ability and is a hugely influential presence both physically and psychologically.

Gerrad has not been involved in (scored/assisted) in a Premier League goal since he got his only Premier League assist of the season thus far in Gameweek 8, where he assisted Coutinho (in open play) for the Brazilian's first Premier League goal of the season.

Gerrard was involved in (scored/assisted) in 26 Premier League goals last season.
Gerrard may not score and/or assist on a particularly consistent basis but throughout the course of the season is reliable for goals and assists.

  • Gerrard scored the exact amount of Premier League goals (13) as he got Premier League assists (13) last season
  • Gerrard has been involved in (scored/assisted) in 29 Premier League goals since October 2013
  • Gerrard has scored over 100 career goals for Liverpool
  • Gerrard has yet to get an assist via a set piece in the Premier League this season
  • Gerrard has scored the exact amount of Premier League goals (2) than he had scored at roughly this time last season (2)
  • 14 of Gerrard's last 15 Premier League goals have came from either direct-free kicks or from the penalty spot
  • Just 1 of Gerrard's last 15 Premier league goals have been scored have not been scored by a penalty or direct free-kick which was his headed goal against Everton (4-0) in January last season)
  • The last Premier League goal that Gerrard scored in open play (not a penalty, a direct free-kick or scored from a via a in-direct set-piece - i.e his headed goal against Everton) was against Manchester City in February in the 2012/13 season.
  • Gerrard has scored goals against over 20 different English teams
  • Gerrard has not missed a Premier League match since January 

Stats are self-compiled, mostly from memory, however, some are self-compiled/double checked through the use of FourFourTwo Stats Zone & BBC Sport (Football)

@ZONERISM

Friday, 7 November 2014

Marco’s Maverick – GW11 – Charlie Austin

After last week’s fail of Emmanuel Adebayor at Villa Park we get back on the donkey and search for more fantasy premier league points. (We aren’t picking Ade again though!)

Looking through the fixtures and potential david vs goliath battles sees us travel to Loftus Road and the visit of the champions. With talisman Vincent Kompany ruled out and Manchester City going through what only can be described as a sticky patch QPR have shown a recent upturn in form and they won’t make it easy for city to dominate the game and take all three points back to Manchester.

Looking at Austin’s ownership he comes in at 1.1% and valued at 5.7m he definitely offers a differential to all those Berahino/Sakho owners out there. You may be surprised that after a recent excellent points return over the last three games that Austin is the 6th highest scoring forward in FPL this season on 44 points tied with Ulloa with only the two aforementioned players and the heavy hitting Aguero, Costa and Pelle surpassing the QPR man. Austin has returned points in 4 of the last five gameweeks and 3 goals in 2 outings so is a man on a hot streak!

After the visit of city the next six fixtures look fairly bright with the schedule looking like this:

new, LEI, swa, BUR, eve, WBA


That run is followed by a trip to the Emirates but they don’t face Arsenal till boxing day and that’s gameweek 18. With the recent form improved and a run of fixtures that offers potential for a decent return of points Austin could be someone that goes under the radar for a few more weeks yet! 

Thursday, 6 November 2014

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 11


Latest Rank: Top 0.9%

 No Transfers for GW11.

Bank: £0.3M

*Potential Transfer(s) for GW12:
S. Taylor, Sanchez &  Walcott  IN
Clyne, Sterling & Fabregas OUT

*I may not make these transfers, but will explore the potential.

 ---

Also...

We have been nominated as the BEST #FPL BLOG for a second consecutive season!  Voting has been reset, please vote for us, through the following methods:






OR




#FlyBuy - GW11

Welcome back to the latest instalment of FlyBuy. A weekly feature whereby I curse a Premier League player into performing to the level normally associated with Sunday parks football. Not my intent, but Wilfried Bony aside (and even he went off the boil last week) all of my picks this season have been absolute garbage.


The ACTUAL intention of FlyBuy is to draw your attention to a player who - for one reason or another - has not been picking up FPL points, but who I think could go on a points scoring run. Maybe they are returning from injury, have fallen out of favour, or perhaps have just been suffering from a catastrophic loss of form (think Aston Villa defenders...)


Last week's pick was Arsenal man Santi Cazorla. Although he did ok on the pitch in "real life", in FPL terms he only picked up appearance points and a clean sheet point. Marvellous. Still, the other factor FlyBuy adheres to is that it is NOT just a one off pick for a single Gameweek. There are many other FPL accounts who cover off that aspect of punditry. Instead, FlyBuy is based on a projected 5 week outlook, hence why the scores in the signature block below only take into account 5 GW's from the time the selection was made. Are you with me? Good. The final factor I try to apply is low ownership. I personally consider anything below 5% to be a differential, and anything below 2.5% to be an uber-differential.


This week's pick comes from a team currently in a little bit of a mini-crisis, although they did pick up 3 points in one of the biggest games of their season last week in GW10. However, that was sandwiched in between a loss in the PL in GW9 and a loss in the UCL in midweek this week.


The player I am tipping (or dooming) this week is currently owned by 3.4% of managers (thereby satisfying the differential requirement), has not completed 90 minutes in the League all season and indeed has only featured in 6/10 of the Gameweeks this season so far. His minutes have been gradually building up though, and he completed 70 minutes in GW10. I believe he will be the main man in the evening kick-off this Saturday though, when his team travel to West London to take on QPR.


I actually have a sneaking suspicion QPR may emerge victorious in this encounter, which will certainly be a shock result. I think his partner in crime, Sergio Aguero will be rested (many disagree with me) and it will be up to Eden Dzeko, and this week's FlyBuy pick, Stevan Jovetic to lead the line. He hasn't scored since bagging a brace vs Liverpool in GW2 so it's about time he rediscovered his touch. He'll get game time, he just needs to make sure he translates it into goals.


FLY

@meet_the_gadfly

FlyBuy picks to date (only takes into account 5 GWs)


GW1 - Calum Chambers (ARS) - Points: 1 / 0 / 8 / 1 / 5 
GW2 - Steven Pienaar (EVE) - Points: 1 / 0 (inj) / DNP / DNP / DNP
GW3 - Siem de Jong (NEW) - Points: 2 (inj) / DNP / DNP / DNP / DNP
GW4 - Marko Arnautovic (STO) - Points: DNP / 1 / 3 / 2 / 0
GW5 - Yaya Toure (MCY) - Points: 1 / 2 / 11 / 1 / 2
GW6 - Wilfried Bony (SWA) - Points: 1 / 6 / 7 / 13 / 1
GW7 - Kevin Nolan (WHU) - Points: 1 / 1 / 1 / 1
GW8 - Adam Lallana (LIV) - Points: 3 / 3 / DNP
GW9 - Ross Barkley (EVE) - Points: 1 / 3
GW10 - Santi Cazorla (ARS) - Points: 3

Saturday, 1 November 2014

Marco’s Maverick – GW10 – Emmanuel Adebayor

Chris Brunt’s assist last week keeps an impressive run going for the maverick who has seen returns in all but one of this seasons selections. Keeping below 4% ownership hasn’t been easy but we’re producing results for that FPL differential that we all crave.

Gameweek 10 provides some interesting fixtures as there are a few minnows travelling to the big boys with plenty of points potential ahead. One potential big hitter at the minute is Southampton and they roll up at the KC stadium in good form but some managers will be questioning just how long can they keep winning? When is the bubble going to burst? Well for those managers that have snatched Graziano Pelle’s points and are ready to make a quick getaway why not look at “FPLHints’ very own gameweek 10 Maverick pick, Emmanuel Adebayor.

Adebayor notched his second of the campaign in the match against Newcastle last time out and will be looking to continue his return to form against a Villa side that’s form against Spurs that can only be described as Abysmal. In the last five meetings Spurs have won all five, scoring 15 goals in the process whilst registering 0 goals against.

At 8.3m, Adebayor comes right up against Pelle for that second/third slot alongside Aguero and/or Costa. Pelle has been in sparkling form so many will choose him over adebayor and you wouldn’t find many argue against it. Pelle’s 29.7% versus Adebayors 3.3% ownership definitely gives cause for optimism if selected that green arrows are surely compulsory should Adebayor find the net.

Many have picked he likes of Chadli and flirted with Eriksen but the Togolese forward is no mug and he knows where the goal is and at Villa Park hopefully he will find it!!