Your ultimate guide to the 2015/16 season is here!

 

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Regards,

Chief @FPLHints

Looking behind and looking ahead

For me the true thrill of FPL isn't about Berbatov scoring 5 goals on a cold winter's day or Aguero netting 4 times at lunch time.  It's about those differentials and the not-so-big-club players that succeed.  It's about Clint "Captain America" Dempsey and his herculean efforts in a mediocre team.  It's about Christian Benteke scoring a Monday Night Football hat-trick for a below-par Aston Villa.  It's about Robert Huth bagging 2 goals and an assist in a team that primarily parks the bus.  It's about Ryan Bennett somehow being in your team as he scores, keeps a clean sheet and bags 3 bonus points in a very low scoring Gameweek.  It's about Steven Whittaker being your sub 2 while scoring and assisting, only for the auto-sub to work in your favour!  Form is key.  Class doesn't matter. FPL is about all those things and so much more.

It's incredible to think how much FPLH has grown since September 2011.  A lot has happened with various developments and yet we remain one of the oldest running fantasy football blogs to have provided continuous weekly hints (147 Gameweeks and counting).   That's no easy task and all good things must come to an end at some point.  In fact, many have tried and packed it in.  There's all the more pressure for us as FPLH's fantasy football team is published before each Gameweek.  Failure isn't an option.  Fortunately, top 1.1% finishes has been our standard (with one amazing finish* in particular).  In addition, we've looked beyond FPL too, with our involvement with other platforms garnering some success** while retaining our focus on FPL.

Looking ahead to the 15/16 season, we intend to publish our blog's fantasy football team on a weekly basis - at least 12-24 hours before the Gameweek deadline.  Gone are the days when it would be published 3-4 days in advance.  Too many variables are now in play.  With that said, the way we select our players will be reliant on statistics, more so than ever before.  I think algorithm-based statistics are the present and future of fantasy football.  This is not to say that I won't pick players on a hunch or due to old-fashioned research.  But in some ways, automating the methodology is a cutting edge approach which will make the blog's fantasy football team selections a lot easier - and yours too.  I'm not implying that they will predict the future or get you maximum points every Gameweek, but they are a very useful aid.

The blog will also have some new writers for the 15/16 season and they will carry on the fine legacy set out by some of our previous standard bearers, such as Matej, Walt and Fly.  Each brought their own personality and contributed to the blog's success.  They demonstrated that you can succeed in playing the game in multiple ways while having fun!  In addition, despite the blog's name FPLH won't limit itself to FPL.  Once again, we will also be involved in other fantasy football platforms.  We may even produce (or be involved) in some live shows...

On a final note, thank you to you the readers that have allowed us to attain 1,500,000+ blog hits.  Thank you to those on Twitter that have allowed us to attain 10,000+ followers.  Thank you to our partners for their support - they have empowered us and without them we wouldn't be able to produce FPL hints on a weekly basis.

Chief

*FPLH's fantasy football team finished 110th in 2011/2012.

**FPLH finished 9th overall in PlayTogga's inaugural Perfect XI game last season.

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 24

  Latest Rank: 38,792 (5k rise)

 

  Transfers:

Sanchez/Chadli OUT

Cazorla/Silva IN

  

Bank Balance: £0.4M

Notes:

I sold Sanchez as I feel that he may not start the next 2 GWs and also I don't stand to lose out on player value on him as I bought him late.  Cazorla makes sense as a viable replacement, but Arsenal's attack is becoming flooded, so he will complement Theo at best.  Incidentally, they have a good run of upcoming games, so 2 Arsenal attackers should be OK seeing as they score a lot.  As for Silva, he also has a good run of upcoming games.  Will he wane once Aguero gets his shooting boots on? Only time will tell. But at the very least he will serve as an assist master.  Overall I am pleased with my midfield. You would be hard pushed to find a better Power 7/8 on paper than the team above for £103M or less.

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 23

  Latest Rank: 43,479 (8k fall)

 

  Transfers:

Albrighton/Costa OUT (-4)*

Walcott/Defoe IN

  

Bank Balance: £0.4M 

*I considered buying Cazorla, Ward-Prowse, Walters, Puncheon and Pelle.

Why did I buy Defoe and Walcott?

Both have FPL pedigree via historical stats.

Defoe and Walcott aren't simply risky purchases.

Both are "Super Differentials" (less than 1% ownership).

Arsenal and Sunderland have a good run of games & need wins/goals.

I'm not a fan of template teams & I hope this is the beginning of 2 bandwagons.

I have slumped dramatically down the rankings & I need to try something different.

They haven't shown prolonged form of late due to different reasons, but they are special.

Extra Notes:

I initially wanted to sell Chadli for Walters as I already have Kane and Stoke have a good run of games till April.  In addition, as a result of Chelsea and Tottenham reaching the League Cup final, GW27 is a truncated GW with no Chelsea, Tottenham, QPR or Leicester.  However, GW28 is now a DGW for Tottenham and QPR.  Chelsea and Leicester's DGW should be announced soon.  I am hoping to sell Hamer and Chadli before GW27.

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 21

Latest Rank: 14,527 (3k fall)
 

  Transfers:

None*

  

Bank Balance: £1.0M 

*Could have bought Kane, Heaton or even Giroud! But erred towards patience.

Zero cover from MUFC, LFC, Arsenal, Soton or W'ham (to be addressed).

Why have I captained Hazard?

He has scored 28% of CFC's  home goals in the PL thus far.

Non-stop fantasy returns at home since GW7 (5th October).

Hazard is the top FPL points scorer & bags baps at home.

Scored a hat-trick against NUFC in the PL last season.

Also...

Best "Points Per Million" CFC attacker at home - bang-for-the-buck-ability:

Hazard is CFC's highest  points scorer at home:

  Source: Asliga

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 20

Latest Rank: 11,393 (4k rise)
 

  Transfers:

  *Clyne (OUT)

  Trippier (IN)
New Bank Balance: £1.0M 

*Trippier is a cheaper version of Clyne & has better upcoming games.

Why have I bought Trippier?

The stats don't lie...

2nd highest outfield FPL points scorer for Burnley this season.

Good run of games: NEW (A), QPR (H), CRY (H), SUN (A),  WBA (H).

Prowess: Apparently made 19 assists in the Championship last season.

I think he is under-the-radar and in many respects a "Moneyball" buy!

Trippier's recent final third passes, key passes & shots are compelling:

 Why captain Austin (again)?

Swansea have one of the worst away records in the PL this season.

They have conceded on average 1.78 goals per away game.

Austin hasn't blanked 2 weeks in a row at home since 19th Oct.

QPR want to avoid a relegation dog fight & seem to only win at home.

Austin has the highest number of shots on target at home in 14/15.

  Source: Asliga

 

On a side note, I WON Fan Feud's Boxing Day Game for CFC v W'Ham:

 Can you outdo me on their game-by-game platform?

Feel free to sign up and try to beat me next time?

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 19

Latest Rank: 15,016 (9k fall)
 

  Transfers:

  Giroud* (OUT)

  Benteke (IN)
New Bank Balance: £0.4M

*Giroud was a spectacular fail & Benteke is a viable replacement.

Why have I bought Benteke?

The stats don't lie...

Benteke has viable fantasy returns in his last 2 home games.

Has registered 4 shots on target at home in his last 2 home games.

Benteke's home ALI (potency) is higher than Austin's since GW15.

Has a pedigree of scoring in the PL. I think he is due to score more.

Villa have a good run of upcoming games: SUN (H), CRY (H), LEI (A)

 

 Why did I captain Austin?

Joint top goalscorer at home in the PL this season (9).

Joint best "fantasy returns at home of any player in the PL (7).

  Most shots on target at home of any player in the PL (20).

Best player for shots on target at home since GW 16 (6).

QPR (17) have scored more goals at home than Man City (15).

Palace are manager-less and concede 1.78 goals when away in 14/15. 

In addition...

 

If QPR score, it's almost safe to say that Austin has scored:

Austin takes more shots on target at home than any of his teammates:

In summary, Austin has been formidable when playing at home in the PL:

 

 

  Source: Asliga

 

On a side note, I WON Fan Feud's Boxing Day Game for CFC v W'Ham:

 Can you outdo me on their game-by-game platform?

Feel free to sign up and try to beat me next time?

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 18

Latest Rank: 6,872 (10k rise)
 

  Transfers:

  Duff/Rooney OUT (-4*)

  Zabaleta/Giroud IN
New Bank Balance: £0.0M

*The former is injured, whereas the latter is playing as a CM (negative OOP)

Why have I purchased Giroud and captained him?

The stats don't lie...

Giroud has scored the most FWD FPL points since GW16 (19).

Has the 3rd highest number of FWD final third passes since GW 16 (23)

Giroud has scored a goal once  every 51 minutes since GW 16.

QPR have conceded 20 goals in 8 away PL games this season.

Giroud has form on his side and likes scoring at the Emirates.

 

 Why did I buy Zabaleta?

Joint 4th highest potency (ALI rating) of any defender this season.

10th best number of key passes of any defender this season.

 10th best number of final third passes of any defender this season.

7/12 Fantasy returns since Gameweek 1, despite missing some games.

 

 Source: Asliga

 

Coming back to Giroud, he is Arsenal's most in-form FPL forward:

Finally, Arsenal are averaging 2+ goals at home this season and need a win!

 Source: Asliga

 

On a side note, I WON Fan Feud's #MNF game by one point in #GW15 and won their top prize:

 Can you outdo me on their game-by-game platform?

Feel free to sign up and try to beat me this weekend!

Chief's Main Togga Draft Team (Festive Period)

Fan Feud's Fantasy Football Show: "Xmas Special" (18-20)

Please follow FanFeud & Fantasy5Live on Twitter!

FPLH's Team of the Season 2013-14

Our team of the season is based on a unique algorithm created by FPLH.  It isn't simply based on the PL's actual ranking.  Rather it considers an array of subjective and objective things, i.e. did a team punch above its weight?  Did a team under-perform?  How did a team actually do? 

To be precise, the FPLH algorithm factors the following things:

• FPLH's pre-season league table projection. (Subjective)
• 4 layered ranking ratio based on pre-season projection. (Objective)
• Goals Scored in PL during the 13-14 season. (Objective)
• Clean Sheets in PL during the 13-14 season. (Objective)
• "Impress Factor" based on actual performance. (Subjective)

With the above in mind, our calculations produced the following results:

Position	Teams	Total
1	Liverpool	1,132,200
2	Man City	1,038,400
3	Arsenal	867,000
4	Everton	729,600
5	Chelsea	623,000
6	Stoke	604,800
7	Southampton	524,400
8	Crystal Palace	472,500
9	Sunderland	371,800
10	Hull	369,600
11	Newcastle	333,900
12	Man Utd	300,300
13	Tottenham	291,525
14	Swansea	241,800
15	West Ham	194,400
16	Aston Villa	168,000
17	West Brom	125,000
18	Cardiff	117,975
19	Norwich	80,000
20	Fulham	72,000

Congratulations to LIVERPOOL FOOTBALL CLUB .  

You are FPLH's Team of the Season 2013/2014.