Friday, 6 November 2015

Stag's Knight - Gameweek 12



The Stag surveyed the expanse of colours laid out before him. The jerseyed knights jostled for positions, snarling as they sought the upper ground and over enthusiastically celebrated their triumphs. However, The Stag required a differential.  Only a knight less than 20% of the herd would do.  Only one knight could help him vault the others over the next 3 gameweeks.  Only one knight could bring him the fabled Green Arrows.  A knight to brighten his day.


For some I’m sure Gameweek 11 was great. I’m sure you had goals galore, a few clean sheets and Man U defenders rather than City ones. Nice for some. My gameweek was distinctly average and frustrating. Southampton and City’s failures to put more than 2 goals each past two of the league’s worst defences meant I was caught rotten. I also decided to hold off getting Lukaku for one more week. Everton were very poor against Man U, uninspiring against Arsenal, and my front 7 had all favourable fixtures or had proven themselves to be undroppable. Consequentially, one Arouna Kone was sitting pretty on the 1st slot on my bench. Each time he found the net against Big Sam’ Black Cats was torment. The fact that he did it three times had me writhing. But that’s what we FPL managers put ourselves through, especially wannabe FPL geniuses like myself who ought to be further up the rankings by now, back to my usual top 100k minimum. Alas that’s not the case… yet!

I’ll preface my pick by highlighting other teammates of this week’s Stag’s Knight who would be more than worth having or keeping. Big Rom Lukaku is obviously Everton’s best known and most prolific attacking option. His ownership is well above Stag’s Knight’s 20% threshold so I couldn’t choose him, but he is highly recommended. One thing myself and many more longer term FPL managers will be painfully aware of is that Lukaku can be a massive let down. He has done so in the past multiple times and will certainly do so again. That said, when he gets that big points haul, we’re never surprised. Ross Barkley also comes with good ratings from me. A powerful midfielder who has proven himself adept to notching up goals and getting assists shouldn’t be discarded. I’ll put his apparent inconsistent point hauls down to a mixture of inexperience and Everton’s team’s inconsistency as a whole. However, even if his ownership was below 20%, I probably wouldn’t have chosen him purely because he failed to play an FPL point accredited role in any of the SIX goals the Toffees managed to put away. That’s just unforgivable. I wouldn’t think it prudent join the rush to bring in Kone yet either. Before last weekend, his game time was very limited. In the 4 previous 4 games, he had appeared for 19, 12, 45 and 2 minutes. Do I think he’ll start this weekend? Honest answer is I wouldn’t be so sure. Logic dictates that the guy who scored a hat-trick should start, but Martinez has rarely played 2 strikers from the start in my memory. If you have him, hang on, but please don’t chase last week’s points without thought.

Without further ado, Gameweek 11’s Stag’s Knight is Everton’s Spanish midfield maestro Gerard Deulofeu. The La Masia graduate has been outstanding recently, and has cemented his role as the team’s primary creator since his return to Merseyside. Last weekend was his best performance yet, when he picked up 2 assists and a well-deserved goal. He also provided the pass for Ross Barkley’s goal at Arsenal in Gameweek 10. He has a goal and 5 assists in total so far this season, and looks to have finally nailed down his starting positions for the foreseeable future.
The Toffees travel to London this weekend to tackle Bilic’s West Ham. The Irons’ defence has been leaky of late, especially in front of their own fans. Next, they’ll have to Garde against complacency against strugglers Villa at Goodison before travelling south again to put a few past Bournemouth. All in all, these are 3 games that our favourite Spaniard could romp home with a decent haul. The 6.2 million price tag and staggeringly low 0.4% ownership means you’re likely to be one of very few (if any) that reap the rewards.


A maestro, a differential. Your Stag’s Knight for Gameweek 12-14 is Gerard Deulofeu.


(Click to enlarge)

Thursday, 5 November 2015

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 12


Disclaimer: *FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will  most likely be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter account.


 CHIPS USED: 0

GW TRANSFER(S): 1

  ROJO (IN)

  FRANCIS (OUT)

  WILDCARD: UNTOUCHED
(TBU after GW12 deadline)


Thoughts & Reasoning:

The less said about the last 3 Gameweeks, the better. I have fallen 500,000 places after de Bruyne and Aguero gifted me 97 points in Gameweek 8. I opted against using my wild card during the subsequent international break due to the big haul. I guess that was a mistake as my squad needed tweaking and my short term -4 hits didn't make a significant impact. What's telling is that my defensive choices have been poor.  I have chopped and changed so much at the front that I have neglected the back - in fact Kolarov and Begovic have been the only defensive changes since Gamewek 1. I guess I need to correct that before it's too late. It's officially my worst start to a FPL season. The only way is up (I hope).

I didn't want to take a hit in Gameweek 12 as I will activate my wild card once the deadline passes so that I can toy with it during the international break.  I know that the panelists on the FanFeud podcast talked about the merits of doubling up with Leicester (Mahrez and Vardy). But looking at my "Front 7" I felt that it doesn't need changing for this weekend, which meant that I could address some defensive issues.  I decided to sell Francis due to Bournemouth's lack of clean sheets. I think Newcastle are capable of scoring 1+ against them even if they lose.  Rojo made sense due to a number of reasons - low ownership (1.3%), cheap price close to a rise (£5.4m), attained bonus points in his recent starts but most significantly United have been keeping clean sheets.  In addition, United have a good run of upcoming games, the first of which is against a WBA team that has been scoring less than a goal a game.

As for my captain, it was a choice between Vardy and de Bruyne.  I opted for the latter as I feel that the Belgian can be an explosive FPL player and is due a goal. The fact he didn't play a full 90 minutes last weekend or during the week is a good sign - he has bagged some rest. He's facing a Villa team that has conceded almost 2 league goals a game since Gameweek 1. I know that Vardy has form on his side, but he is facing a Watford team that is defensively robust. If Ighalo doesn't start against Leicester they may do all they can from keeping the Foxes from scoring. Vardy is due a blank. Could this be the weekend for it? Finally, another novel reason which validates de Bruyne as captain is based on an interesting fact that I discovered through Fantasy Football Fix.  He's playing just after Sunday lunchtime (13:30 GMT) which appears to be the most optimum time for average goals scored, as follows:
Good luck to you all!

Tuesday, 3 November 2015

Friday, 30 October 2015

Stag's Knight - Gameweek 11



The Stag surveyed the expanse of colours laid out before him. The jerseyed knights jostled for positions, snarling as they sought the upper ground and over enthusiastically celebrated their triumphs. However, The Stag required a differential.  Only a knight less than 20% of the herd would do.  Only one knight could help him vault the others over the next 3 gameweeks.  Only one knight could bring him the fabled Green Arrows.  A knight to brighten his day.





The return of last season’s heroes gradually, gameweek by gameweek continued last week with Harry Kane coming up trumps with a hat trick. However, one game isn’t enough for me to back him for this week’s Stag’s Knight, combined with the fact that Spurs’ fixtures aren’t all that great. Instead, it’s Gameweek 9’s man of the moment Georginio “Wij” Wijnaldum who comes in as my top pick for the upcoming three gameweeks. For the Dutchman, it’s a combination of partial form, undoubted ability and fixtures that make him the standout pick.

I’ll hit all the nails I just outlined on the head now, starting with form. Wij’s returns have been more consistent than Newcastle’s results for a start. In the two games before the infamous 4 goal bonanza against Norwich, when the Toon faced Chelsea and Arsenal, he managed to get a goal and then an assist. In addition to that, Wij also scored on his Premier League debut against Southampton in Gameweek 1. You have a certain comfort in picking Wij too that you wouldn’t have often wouldn’t have when you’re dealing with players from other teams – almost everything Newcastle do successfully in attack goes through him. Of the 12 goals they’ve managed to score this term, Wij was involved in 7 of them. That’s staggering!

Undoubted ability you say Mr Stag? Prove it! Okay, okay precious readers. Sit down around the fire to hear some career stats. From midfield, he managed to score 56 goals and create a further 24 goals in 154 competitive appearances for PSV over in Holland. Just over one attacking return every second match. Bear in mind also that he managed all that while a young developing player (Wij turns 25 on November 11th). While I’ve outlined his Premier League returns, I didn’t mention the stats that underpin them and highlight his ability further. When you consider how terrible Newcastle have been, averaging 1.5 shots per game and 1.1 key passes per game is quite impressive (whoscored.com). These personal stats are sure to improve as they consistently play weaker opposition over the next three gameweeks, and the team around Wij will find it much easier to supply him.

Speaking of weaker opposition, I’ll outline the enticing fixtures I’ve spoken about. Newcastle host Stoke, go to wayward Bournemouth and then play Leicester in St James’ Park after the International break. Stoke won’t exactly be shrinking violets when they head up to Tyneside. It’s the most difficult of the three. However, the injury to Geoff Cameron is a sure blow to their defence system, as is highlighted by the two goals Watford put past them last weekend after he was forced off. Need I explain Bournemouth? Boruc has suddenly become the poorest ‘keeper in the division and the team have shipped 10 goals in their last two games. Leicester are still poor defensively, their first clean sheet of the season last weekend doesn’t change that. Oh yeah, why didn’t I choose him last week so? Two reasons, derby and new manager playing at home. Two things I always fear.


6.9m, 7% ownership and a key attacking outlet. Georginio Wijnaludum is Gameweek 11’s Stag’s Knight. @FPLStag

(Click to enlarge)


Thursday, 29 October 2015

Chief's #FPL Team - Gameweek 11

Disclaimer: *FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will  most likely be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter account.


 CHIPS USED: 0

GW TRANSFER(S): 2

-4 HIT

  KANE & MANE (IN)

  COSTA & WALCOTT (OUT)

  WILDCARD: UNTOUCHED
(TBU after GW12 deadline)


Thoughts & Reasoning:

Another Gameweek, another red arrow and another 100k fall.  I'm now floating around the 600k mark which is far from ideal, obviously. Captain Vardy just about delivered, albeit "bap-less" and selling Ritchie for Wijnaldum for a -4 was premature, if not costly.  It could have been far worse had I not captained Vardy as the rest of my attacking players flopped. Walcott's no show was the final straw.  I didn't want to take another -4 hit, but the fact that both he and Costa got injured midweek gave me a chance to reshuffle some dead wood. Even if Costa is fit for the Liverpool match I doubt he'll be performing at 100% and Walcott over Ozil was a mistake I still regret.

Looking to Gameweek 11 I needed some inspiration.  This came in part when listening live to the Weekly Fantasy Football Show (podcast) with their discussion on Kane. But it was during a chance conversation with Rob (6 consecutive Top 5k FPL finishes in a row) that swayed and ultimately validated my purchase of Mane.  Firstly, with Kane, he won't score a hat-trick every week. But with the no Spurs cover and with him finally showing some form it made sense to buy him - he also faces Villa at home during a "MNF" game.  If he falters, I can always replace him with Lukaku through my wildcard.

As for Mane, I think he will go under the radar this week.  Many FPL managers saw him get a red card last Sunday and they may erroneously think he is banned for this Sunday. Wrong! The ban has already been completed with Southampton's League Cup game.  Mane has scored 3 goals and bagged an assist in his last 4 Premier League games, which is a fantastic return for a non-top 4 club midfielder that costs less than £8M.  To put things into perspective, he scored 10 league goals in 30 games last season.  Mane is a de facto striker and will face a depleted Bournemouth defence at home.  In addition, Southampton face Sunderland and Stoke in the next two Gameweeks. At less than 10% ownership and with an eye for scoring, he makes sense. I'm so impressed by his overall prowess that I am even captaining him over Kane.

Here's to hoping for some green arrows.  Good luck to you all!

Tuesday, 27 October 2015

Vintage FPL: Leicester 3-3 Arsenal (Guest Post)

As a 35 year old man I have seen a lot of goals in my ‘career’ as a football fan/FPL manager. The best three hat-tricks I have ever seen in the flesh are:
1). Sam Smart for Earls Barton Saxons Under 13s Vs Oakley Lodge Under 13s at The Pioneer, in 1993. This hat trick genuinely included a 35 yard header and Sam was a centre half!!
2). Neil (Larry) Grayson for Northampton Town away at Preston North End in 1996– The bald, stocky, pacey Cobblers forward bustled his way to a ‘hattie’ away at top of the league Preston, to help turn them over in their own back yard, “Jingle bells, jingle bells, jingle all the way, oh what fun it is to see the Cobblers win away!”
3). Alexis Sanchez for Arsenal, away to Leicester City, earlier this season (did I mention I went to the game?!) – made all the better as I had him in my FPL team and my brother in-law had just taken him out of his (who I had gone to the game with).

@FanFeudPodcast - Gameweek 10


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Don't Mesut with Kane!

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Saturday, 24 October 2015

Vintage FPL: Liverpool 4-3 Newcastle United (Guest Post)


So there I was, scratching around in the FPL wilderness trying to find my place, thoroughly enjoying my time being part of the FPL Community but feeling the need to do something to ‘earn’ my place. I began by posting some vines for a bit of fun – predominantly based on Ari Gold from Entourage and The X-Factor were getting me by but I needed something more...
In choosing the name @FPLVintage I suppose I kind of subconsciously pushed this kind of thing on myself but it wasn’t until an inspiring DM session with the man himself (when I was supposed to be washing up) that the task dawned upon me.
Chief - “You should do a Twitter post with vintage FPL values”
Nah I thought, too much effort. But then I started considering it; Why not? Shouldn’t take too long,  could make it a regular thing (if I can be bothered), might be quite an interesting thing to do plus I’ve always found it a lot easier talking more accurately about the past than the future, so….. here we go.
Number 1 instalment of FPLVintage, VPL (Vintage Premier League – not Visible Panty Line). Took place at Anfield on Wednesday 3rd April 1996, I remember listening to the game on Radio 5live in my bedroom on the ghetto blaster I had for my 15th Birthday (the November before) as the old man was always too tight to get Sky. Considered to be one of the most entertaining matches in Premier League history and, as a childhood Liverpool fan, I have to agree: Liverpool 4 v 3 Newcastle United.
Any suggestions for my next post would be greatly appreciated. Get involved.
Nice one.
 

VPL FF points:
Collymore 16 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 8pts – 2 goals, 3pts – 1 assist, 3BAPS)
Fowler 12 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 8pts – 2 goals, 2BAPS)
Ferdinand 10 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 4pts – 1 goal, 3pts – 1 assist, 1BAP)
Asprilla 10 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 4pts – 1 goal, 3pts – 1 assist, 1BAP)
Ginola 7 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 5pts – 1 goal)
McManaman 5 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 3pts – 1 assist)
Barnes 5 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 3pts – 1 assist)
Lee 5 pts (2pts – 90 mins, 3pts – 1 assist)
FPL Vintage Values:


 
LFC
VFPL Value

NUFC
VFPL Value
5.5M

Pavel Srníček
5.5M
5M

Steve Watson
6M
6M

Steve Howey
6M
5.5M

Philippe Albert
6.5M
6M

John Beresford
5.5M
6.5M

Peter Beardsley
8M
5.5M

David Batty
5M
5.5M

Robert Lee
7M
8M

David Ginola
9.5M
10.5M

'Tino Asprilla
10.5M
12M

Les Ferdinand
12M
4.5M

Darren Peacock
5.5M
4.5M

Keith Gillespie
7M
5.5M

Lee Clark
6M