Showing posts with label GW8. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GW8. Show all posts

Thursday, 1 October 2015

Stag's Knight - Gameweek 8


The Stag surveyed the expanse of colours laid out before him. The jerseyed knights jostled for positions, snarling as they sought the upper ground and over enthusiastically celebrated their triumphs. However, The Stag required a differential.  Only a knight less than 20% of the herd would do.  Only one knight could help him vault the others over the next 3 gameweeks.  Only one knight could bring him the fabled Green Arrows.  A knight to brighten his day.


FPL's a funny old game isn't it? You spend a whole week carefully deciding on transfers, you daydream about your players scoring hat tricks and you subdue the awful possibility that the player you transferred out does well. At the end of the day it's all a bit of luck. 53 missed shots and no goals caused me to ditch Alexis before gameweek 7. You can imagine my pain as he tore Leicester's porous defence to shreds. I feared for my selection of Coutinho as Stag's Knight after he wasted multiple opportunities against Norwich for the same reason, lots of shots and no returns. Yet there he was assisting the returning prodigal son Daniel Sturridge to two goals against Villa. If there's any lesson to be taken here, it's that irrational patience is key (I don't really believe this but it has proven true this season). Does that bode well for Aguero owners? I hope so!

With Nathan Redmond, the same principle could be applied in a microcosmic way. Sure, he started the season on fire, racking up 24 points in three gameweeks for only £5.5m; after that though, things changed. A drought descended where the young Englishman failed to pull any attacking returns for three games despite his team netting 4 goals. In the ruthless world of professional football, nobody is safe and Redmond's was punished for his dip in performance, dropping from the starting line up to play West Ham. He showed real character (at risk of sounding like Brendan Rodgers) by slotting home in the 83rd minute with a low shot to put his team in a lead that was cancelled out late on.

Why then, after telling you all that Redmond was dropped for poor performances, am I telling you to pick the £5.7m, 7.7% owned midfielder? Is he even guaranteed his place in the team?
Well I'll attempt to allay your fears. Redmond didn't start the Canaries' first game this season in the 3-1 defeat to Palace but he did score a goal in his 37 minute cameo as a sub. For that, Alex Neil rewarded Redmond with a string of starts which lasted until gameweek 7. As far as evidence goes, that's as much as is available right now. As always, keeping an ear open to the manager's press conference would be worthwhile, worry not, there's no risk of price changes with Redmond.

Delving into the stats, in 500 minutes of Premier League football so far this season, Redmond's offensive averages are not to be scoffed at. He has had an average of 1.7 shots per game and gives 2.3 key passes per game. Keep in mind that with those he has returned 3 goals and an assist. He also acquired 5 bonus points in gameweeks 2 and 3.

Finally I'll run through the fixtures. Norwich entertain Leicester before travelling to Newcastle and then hosting West Brom. Leicester STILL haven't kept a clean sheet so far this season in spite of their unbelievable form. They're the sort of team that try to outscore their opponents rather than choke them out and win 1-0. It would be astounding if Norwich fail to put at least one past Kasper Schmeichel. Everyone to visit St James' Park so far the season has managed to score and Norwich have lost only once on their travels under Alex Neil. Both those facts bode well for Redmond to do himself justice. Finally the home game against Tony Pulis' men would be tough for any team. I could see this game falling to a stalemate or exploding into life, let's hope it’s the latter with gameweek 8's Stag's Knight Nathan Redmond getting on the scoresheet!


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Wednesday, 23 October 2013

VOX POPULI #CalledIt Differential Pick - GW9

The preparations for the #CalledIt differential pick for GW9 are in full swing and as part of those, I have asked my Twitter followers this question today:


Much to my surprise, I have received a large number of ideas (which I will happily include into my consideration for this GW) and I thought it would be interesting to see which are the ones that you favor, statistically speaking. As a totally ad-hoc decision, I decided to put together a "Vox populi" article on your differential picks and here they are:


Andros Townsend leads the way with 18% of your votes and this has a lot of merit to it. Great form during the international break resulted in a goal and 2 bonus points in the game against Villa. With 5 shots in the game (2 on target) and 3 chances created, there was potential for even more.

Yohan Cabaye follows with 12% of votes riding on his amazing goal vs Liverpool, but the stats show that he had only 1 shot on target (out of 5) in the game and created only 2 chances in the last two games. He also tends to shoot from distance which clearly diminishes his attacking potential. But who cares about statistics, if he can score goals like that?

Santi Cazorla joins Cabaye at 12% - a great player, should be back in the squad this week and has big scoring potential (remember his hat-trick last year?), though sometimes lacks consistency.

Is anyone missing? Should Torres be in the top3? Who will get the #CalledIt call this week? Tune in on Friday.

Friday, 18 October 2013

#CalledIt Differential Pick - GW8


With 6 chances created in GW7 match-up with Everton and an ownership of just below 5%, this one really is a no-brainer. Amazing player, fun to watch and one helluva sportsman. And mark my words: "He WILL outscore Yaya between now and the end of the season!". David Silva, #CalledIt for GW8. 

To make it more interesting, I decided to introduce a BONUS section this week. If you (for some reason) can't (or won't) fork out 9.3M, but would still need a differential - a poor man's #CalledIt for GW8 is Marko Arnautovic. Plays OOP and had 6 shots in the game vs Fulham. Trigger-happy (football wise, of course), impulsive AND plays for Stoke! Outlook not good, but if he does score it will be BANDWAGON time! Get him before others do.

May the #FPL gods be kind to you!

Thursday, 17 October 2013

FPL Hints - Gameweek 8

Disclaimer: *FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes made will most likely be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter account.


Transfers: None

The group stages of the qualifiers are over and England are joining the samba party in Brazil!  They came back from the brink and played their A-game.  England last qualified unbeaten for a World Cup under Bobby Robson.  Let's hope they maintain momentum with their new "more flair/no fear" policy.  Qualification is fantastic news for FPL gamers, as English players will try and enhance their own performances in the PL so that they are considered for selection.

Enough of the World Cup for now and back to PL...  As you can see I have made no transfers this GW.  This is significant as I have taken -4 hits since August in almost every GW up to now.  The decision to not make any transfers required patience on my part.  Having said that 8/11 of my first XI are playing at home with decent fixtures.  I didn't wish to take another -4 hit but was looking to do a simple in-out transfer.  I wanted Lukaku put couldn't fit him in.  Distin for K. Toure was an option, but Distin's lack of attacking threat was a concern.  Januzaj for Morrison was also another possibility, but I want to see the young winger prove himself a bit more first.  In the end I decided that I should hold the trigger for this GW.

I had a good think about RVP.  I was tempted to sell him, but he is the kind of player who doesn't tend to suffer from long-term bad form.  With 2 decent home fixtures it made sense to keep him.  I will start with Ozil, even though he is a doubt.  Had he been 100% fit I may have even captained him.  But in the end I decided to take a chance on RVP with the arm band.  It won't be easy for United to score 2+ goals at OT against Southampton especially considering their decent defensive record this season (5/7 clean sheets).  But this won't put me off from captaining RVP.  On a side note, my vice-captain is Barkley due to Everton's good home record and Hull's poor away record.



GW Reject:
MCGREGOR (HUL)

GW Punt:
GAYLE (CRY)

GW Hot Pick:
VAN PERSIE (MNU)


Why?

Doesn't suffer from long-term "bad" form.
56 PL goals / 28 assists since August 2011.
RVP has pedigree & is due a goal or two in the PL.


FPLH's GW Star Picks:

Cech

Vidic
Gibbs
Baines

Y. Toure
Barkley
Oscar
Ozil

Suarez
Van Persie (c)
Lukaku

Subs:
Vorm
Ramsey
Terry
B. Davies

FPLH's Projected GW Results: