Thursday, 19 September 2019

MadPick - Zero Hero (Gameweek 6)

This is @FPLMad's debut article via FPL HINTS. Over the years, he has provided an assortment of successful differentials on a weekly basis through his own set of parameters (a player who has a chance of a good score for a single week and who is under 5% owned). Providing a weekly differential can be hit and miss at times, as not only is it a player who often hasn’t proven himself enough to be picked by many managers,  but also has to justify himself by bagging a return when put under the FPL microscope. However all of that has now changed as we endeavour to take it to the next level. Firstly, the majority of seasoned managers will not undertake one week transfers, so we're increasing the evaluation window to three Gameweeks. Secondly we want to take the term differential to the next level. Are there super low-owned players that in essence could be the uber-differentials that we are after? We think so. So the MadPicks will be reloaded and restricted to players owned by 0.9% or less! Introducing MadPick: The Zero Hero Edition.
This week’s MadPick/Zero Hero is Newcastle United's Miguel Almiron. Arriving from Atlanta United where he scored 12 goals and provided 13 assists during 17/18 season, he had great potential to translate that to the Premier League. Last year, arriving in January and suffering an injury that ruled him out in the last three weeks, he only had 10 appearances where he registered two assists.  Still, the Paraguayan winger has looked really good and has shown some promise of good FPL potential. This season, Newcastle have had a rough start, apart from the superb away win against Tottenham in GW3, with only 4 points gained. With Steve Bruce in charge, they’ve retained aspects of the same system that Benitez established last year with Atsu replacing the injured Ritchie, and Almiron out wide providing support to Joelinton the lone striker in attack.  They heavily rely on counter-attacking football in their matches and Almiron’s pace can be very dangerous for the opposition. So far, Almiron has been very quiet with an empty bag of returns with 0 goals and 0 assists. However, I expect that to change over the course of the next 3 gameweeks. In terms of his underlying stats, he had 78 touches in the final third including 11 penalty area touches, created two changes, registered 6 goal attempts and an xGI of 0.55.
I can’t lie; a huge factor in my selections is based on gut as well as what some people like to call, the “eye-test”.  I really think Miguel Almiron can do something over the next 3 weeks with Brighton at Home, Leicester away and Manchester United at home. They have only kept 4 clean sheets in their first 5 games. He’s only owned by 0.5% of FPL managers and comes at a reduced price of 5.9 million. In my estimation, he is worth considering as an extremely out of the box fourth or fifth midfielder option. I would love to hear your thoughts and reactions about this week’s pick.

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