Friday, 30 December 2016

Seb's GW19 Preview

Top Captain Picks

1. Alexis Sànchez vs Crystal Palace (home) - £11.9 (TSB 36.9%)

Although he blanked at home to West Brom in GW18, Sanchez registered 9 shots, with 6 inside the box. If he can replicate this in GW19 against a Crystal Palace side who have conceded the 3rd most goals in the league, Sànchez clearly has the potential to provide a massive haul to his owners.

2. Eden Hazard vs Stoke (home) - £10.4 (TSB 35.9%)

Having returned to form last GW with a goal (5 shots & 4 chances created), Hazard would like to continue this form in GW19. This is a real possibility, as he will come up against a Stoke side who have conceded 7 goal in their last 2 away games. This bodes well for Hazard owners, as 7 of his 9 goals this season have come at home. 

3. Romelu Lukaku vs Hull (away) - £9.4 (TSB 26.6%)

After a relatively dry spell, Lukaku has re-found his goal scoring touch as of late, especially away from home. In his past 2 away games, he has netted 3 goals and picked up 4 bonus points. In GW19, he will come up against Hull who have conceded 31 shots in the past 2 away games and Lukaku is definitely capable of capitalising on this obliging Tigers defence. Furthermore, Lukaku has scored 2 goals in his past 2 starts against Hull, which heightens his appeal.

4. Zlatan Ibrahimovic vs Middlesbrough (home) - £11.6 (TSB 42.9%)

Zlatan is pretty much unstoppable at the moment. He has 8 goals and 3 assists in his last 7 games, and has returned 4 double figure hauls in this period. Last GW was arguably his best performance, with 1 goal (4 shots) and 2 assists (5 chances created) and GW19 provides him with similar conditions to continue this form. However, Middlesbrough have the equal 5th best defence in the league, and thus have a very tight backline, which prevents the Bug Swede from being in the top 3 captain picks this GW.

Differential Captain Picks

1. Olivier Giroud vs Crystal Palace (home) - £8.5 (TSB 1.5%)

Having returned to the starting line up last GW, Giroud again rescued Arsenal and claimed all 3 points for his side. This GW, he will again lead the line for the Gunners due to the absence of Theo Walcott. In addition to his goal in GW18, he registered 5 shots, 4 of which came from inside the box. Also, with the mercurial Mesut Ozil, who created 7 chances last GW, playing behind him, it is likely that Giroud will have plenty of chances to score against a porous Eagles defence in GW19.

2. Kevin Mirallas vs Hull (away) - £6.0 (TSB 1.7%)

Another player who returned to his respective side’s starting XI in GW18, Mirallas showcased his talent and took his opportunity well, netting the first goal in Everton’s 2-0 win over Leicester at the King Power. In fact, both of his goals this season have come away for Goodison Park, and he has averaged just over 2 shots per game away from home. This GW, Mirallas will face the second worst defence in the league, and should he continue in a more advanced role as a second striker, he may well be amongst the points again.

3. Andy Carroll vs Leicester (away) - £6.2 (TSB 3.0%)

Since returning from injury, Andy Carroll has played himself into solid form. Over the last 3 games, he has netted 1 goal and managed a shot frequency of 1 every 23.8 minutes, which is excellent. In GW19, he will face a Leicester side who have conceded 8 goals in their past 4 home games, and have not kept a clean sheet since GW7. Carroll should be able to take advantage of this leaky defence, especially due to the service he will receive from Dimitri Payet. Both sides in this game will be desperate for a win, so the Hammers will be pushing hard to score, and Carroll is the focal point of their attacking play.

4. Jermain Defoe vs Burnely (away) - £7.7 (TSB 24.1%)

It was a tough call between Defoe and Jay Rodriguez (who plays West Brom at St Mary’s this GW) for this spot, but due to the Baggies’ defensive style of play, in particular that employed when playing away from home, coupled J Rod’s rotation risk, I have opted for Jermain Defoe. Although owned by over 24% of FPL managers, Defoe seems to be flying under the radar as a captain pick this GW. However, he could exceed expectation this GW. Playing Burnley, who are averaging 19 shots conceded per game, Defoe should be able to capitalise on this loose defending.  He himself is averaging almost three shots a game, which is quite good for the striker of a relegation battling side, and if he can continue to do this, he may well come away with a goal or two this GW.

Score Predictions

HUL 0 | EVE 3 (Lukaku, Mirallas Funes Mori)

BUR 2 (Vokes, Gray) | SUN 3 (Defoe x2, Anichebe)

CHE 2 (Hazard, Moses) | STK 0

LEI 2 (Amartey, Mahrez) | WHU 4 (Carroll x2, Ayew, Antonio)

MUN 2 (Ibrahimovic x2) | MID 1 (Negredo)

SOU 1 (Rodriguez) | WBA 0

SWA 4 (Llorente, Siggy x2, Routledge) | BOU 1 (Stanislas)

LIV 0 | MCI 0

WAT 0 | TOT 2 (Alli, Son)

ARS 4 (Sànchez x2, Giroud, Ozil) | CRY 0

                                                     So, here is the GW19 Star Picks XI


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By Sebastian Candido

(Twitter: @sebcandido)