PART 1 - Huddersfield, Burnley, Brighton and Swansea
Huddersfield - 20
Top target
Tom Ince - £6.0 - TSB 2.2%
14 goals, 6 assists and a shot frequency of 1 every 27.55 minutes last season in the Championship. With 4 goals already in pre season, Ince is one who could well outperform his price tag this season.
Differential/Punt pick
Steve Mounie -
Coming off the back of 14 goals and 3 assists with an average of 3 shots per game for Montpellier in the Ligue 1 last season, Mounie has carried this form over to his new club, with 3 pre season goals. Dominant in the air and holding the ball up for teammates, Mounie is one to look out for this season.
Be wary of…
Tommy Smith -
Huddersfield conceded 58 goals in the Championship last season, only keeping 13 clean sheets. That’s more goals conceded than relegated Wigan, and 18 more than the other two promoted clubs. Despite his 4 goals and 10 assists last season, his attacking output isn’t enough to make him an appealing FPL option at his price of £5.0.
Predicted top scorer
Mounie (11)
Predicted top assister
Mooy (8)
Predicted GW1 line-up
Burnley - 19
PART 2 - Watford, Stoke, Leicester and Crystal Palace
Watford - 16
Top target
Top target
Isaac Success -
Was very good for Granada in La Liga two seasons ago, but couldn’t get much momentum in his first season in England. For a player with his attributes, it’s only a matter of time before he starts to bang in the goals regularly.
Differential/Punt Pick
Daryl Janmaat -
An extremely attacking fullback, Janmaat registered a shot frequency of 1 every 62 minutes last season. His creative potential is highlighted by his 8 assists in the 2014/15 season. This bodes well for FPL points. Also, Watford underachieved in terms of clean sheets last season, but if they can be more resolute this season, Janmaat is one to consider.
Be wary of…
Will Hughes -
Although an astute signing by Marco Silva, Hughes is not a great FPL option. 8 goals and 14 assists in 134 career appearances is not what FPL managers are looking for. Furthermore, some believed Hughes would be deployed at attacking midfield for Watford, but Silva has used Capoue there in pre-season, meaning Hughes will probably be fielded in the double pivot.
Predicted top goalscorer
Success (9)
Predicted top assister
Pereyra (12)
Predicted GW1 line-up
Stoke - 15
PART 3 - West Ham, West Brom, Newcastle and Bournemouth
West Ham - 12
Top target
Marko Arnautovic -
A proven FPL asset, with 17 goals, 13 assists and 26 bonus points in the past two seasons. Most impressively though, he had 15 clear cut goal scoring chances (those in which the player is expected to score) last season. This was not a off, as he managed 18 the season before. At his new club, it seems likely that Arnautovic will continue to thrive.
Differential
Michail Antonio -
In his past two seasons, he has managed similar returns to Arnautovic (17 goals, 15 assists and 20 bonus points). However, he has managed these returns in 1055 minutes less that the Austrian. Last season, Antonio registered a shot frequency of 1 every 31.6 minutes, which is very good. His clear cut chances stats are less impressive though, and he is injured to start the season.
Be wary of…
Robert Snodgrass -
Following last year’s returns and stats, Snodgrass is very appealing at a price of only £6.0. This has seen him be picked up by 6.5% of FPL mangers. However, it is highly unlikely Snodgrass will start for the Hammers, with Lanzini, Arnautovic, Antonio, A.Ayew and Feghouli all appearing above him in the race for a starting spot in attack. According to reports, he may not even be a West Ham player come the end of the transfer window.
Predicted top scorer
Chicharito (14)
Predicted top assister
Lanzini (9)
Predicted GW1 line-up
West Brom - 11
PART 4 - Southampton, Everton, Liverpool and Manchester United
Southampton - 8
Top target
Ryan Bertrand -
An assured starter at left back, Bertrand is a key man for the Saints. With regular clean sheets likely, Bertrand’s potential is boosted by his attacking output, registering 2 goals and 5 assists last season.
Differential/Punt pick
Manolo Gabbiadini -
Gabbiadini started life at St Mary’s very brightly, with 4 goals in his first 3 games. However, he then went on a blanking spree, frustrating many FPL managers. Despite these bad memories though, Gabbiadini, who had a shot frequency of 1 every 26.8 minutes last season, has the potential to re-find his goal scoring touch this season and be among the league’s top scorers.
Be wary of…
Dusan Tadic -
His stats are always so good, but his final product is severely lacking. 3 goals and 7 assists in 30 starts last season are not good enough for a player of his quality. If he continues to be so wasteful in front of goal, and more of an ‘assister of the assister’ player, FPL manager should look elsewhere.
Predicted top scorer
Gabbiadini (17)
Predicted top assister
Ward-Prowse (10)
Predicted GW1 line-up
Everton - 7
PART 5 - Arsenal, Tottenham, Manchester City, Chelsea
Arsenal - 4
Top target
Alexandre Lacazette - £10.5 - TSB 17.4%
The guy is a goal scorer. 34 goals in 34 games in all competitions last season shows this. It is also expected that he will take penalties for Arsenal. He may take a little bit of time to adjust to the pace and physicality of the Premier League, but expect Lacazette to be near the top of the golden boot race this season.
Differential
Mesut Özil -
Created on average 3 chances per start last season (11 assists). Having a more ruthless striker in Lacazette up front will boost his creative returns in FPL.
Be wary of…
Aaron Ramsey -
When he plays, he’s one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the world. However, his poor injury record, Arsenal’s external competition commitments, and the fact that Wenger has a lot of other central midfielders at his disposal means that Ramsey will probably be rested quite often.
Predicted top scorer
Lacazette (21)
Predicted top assister
Özil (21)
Predicted GW1 line-up
Tottenham - 3
*Order of teams based on @WFC_LS_Potzi's article; EPL Title Contenders, Relegation Battlers, Key Players and Ladder Prediction
