Thursday, 7 November 2019

MadPick - Zero Hero (Gameweek 12)


@FPLMad continues his series of 'Zero Hero' picks which focus on super low-owned players. They could be uber-differentials (at 0.9% or less), thus require more scrutiny and evaluation over a three Gameweek window. Over the years, he has provided an assortment of successful differentials on a weekly basis through his own set of parameters and is relishing this new challenge. Here's his Zero Hero pick for Gameweek 10: 

Before getting into this week’s pick, since I didn’t have an article last week for personal reasons, let’s take a look at how GW8’s and GW9’s Zero Heroes did over the three Gameweek window that they were given. It was a mixed bag with Maupay and Tierney. First, Maupay scored 2 goals in his 3 matches which would qualify the pick as a success. Second is Tierney, who was a total failure with 2 blanks in 2 appearances. All of that adds up to 3 out of 5 successful picks which is pretty respectable I think.

Focusing on the next 3 gameweeks, there’s been a differential on my mind for a couple of weeks actually; he was so close to being picked the last two gameweeks but I think this week is the perfect timing given his next three fixtures. This week’s Zero Hero has been going about his business without a lot of traction from FPL managers; he’s still only owned by 0.6%. However, he already has a goal and 4 assists to his name. He’s Dwight McNeil from Burnley. The young English winger was a breakout star last season for Burnley and has well established himself as a nailed-on starter this season; he’s yet to miss the starting XI and has been arguably one of the best players for Sean Dyche’s side. 

One thing not going in his favor, in the eyes of FPL managers, is his price. At 6.0 million, people have other more popular options like McGinn and Cantwell. However, when you look at overall points this season, he sits 4th for midfielders priced at 6.0 million or under. Other than the good form, he has fixtures on his side as well. In the next 3, Burnley plays West Ham and Crystal Palace at home and Watford away. The fact that a 6.0 midfielder from Burnley is putting a lot of people off, which makes him an even greater differential right now; he’s your Zero Hero for Gameweek 12.

I would love to hear your thoughts and reactions about this week’s pick!

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