Friday, 14 April 2017

Seb's GW33 Preview

Top Captain Picks

1. Harry Kane vs Bournemouth (home) - £11.3 (TSB 11.0%)

Returned to the squad last GW and showed his dominance when he came off the bench. With 5 goals in his last 2 games against the Cherries, as well as 56 points in his last 4 home games, expect Kane to return to the Tottenham starting line up with a bang in GW33. However, for managers that do not own Kane, Alli and Eriksen are worthy captaincy alternatives.

2. Romelu Lukaku vs Burnley (home) - £10.4 (TSB 46.1%)

The league's leading goal scorer has not blanked at home since GW17, returning 13 goals and 3 assists in his last 7 games at Goodison. Over this period, he has registered on average 4.4 shots per game. Facing Burnley, who have not won away from home all season and have the 4th worst away defence, Lukaku should have some good opportunities to score this GW.

3. Wilfried Zaha vs Leicester (home) - £5.9 (TSB 12.0%)

Zaha's pace and directness will be a key factor against a Leicester backline lacking speed. His form recently has been excellent, with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games. Palace's win against Arsenal will give them great confidence to overcome a Foxes side who conceded 4 goals away from home last GW. Also, Leicester may be suffering from fatigue due to their heavy schedule of matches, and will likely rest their key players in this match so they will be fresh for the Champions League QF 2nd leg against Atletico, and this boosts Zaha's appeal further.

4. Philippe Coutinho vs West Brom (away) - £8.5 (TSB 21.7%)

Liverpool's little maestro has re-found his best form over the last 3 GWs, with 3 goals, 1 assist and 5 bonus points. He also has a shot frequency of 1 every 18.2 mins and has created a chance every 22.75 minutes over this period. West Brom's central midfield of Brunt, Livermore and Fletcher is not very mobile, so the dribbling and trickery of Coutinho should see him find numerous spaces for a shot or shot assist.

Punt Picks

1. Xherdan Shaqiri vs Hull (home) - £6.0 (TSB 2.8%)

Having missed the majority of the season through injury, Shaqiri returned to the starting line up last GW against Liverpool and immediately showed how good he is. He provided 1 assist from 2 shots assists, and had 2 shots (he also had a goal disallowed for a narrow offside). Playing at home again this GW, he will be facing Hull, who have conceded 10 goals in their last 3 away matches. Also, last time Shaqiri faced Hull, he netted a brace, taking 3 shots and creating 5 chances, so he will go into this match full of confidence.

2. Troy Deeney vs Swansea (home) - £6.9 (TSB 7.1%)

With 4 goals, 1 assist and 6 bonus points in his last 4 home games, Deeney comes into GW33 with form on his side. Having been rested in 2 of the last 3 GWs, he should be fresh and ready to take advantage of a Swansea defence that has shipped on averaged 2 goals per game over their last 6 away matches.
3. Kevin Mirallas vs Burnley (home) - £6.0 (TSB 2.5%)

Although having his minutes restricted, Mirallas has provided a steady stream of returns lately. 4 assists and 1 goal from 6 appearances (only 3 starts) has Mirallas is great form. This is supported by his underlying stats, where he has had 3 shots on target and created 7 chances in his past 2 starts. It is also worth noting that in his last 3 home starts, he has averaged nearly 11 points per game. Although Burnely's defence has been solid in the past few GWs, Everton's home form is superb, having scored 26 goals in their past 7 games as Goodison (3.7 per game), so Mirallas should have numerous chances to provided FPL points to his owners in GW33.

4. Jermain Defoe vs West Ham (home) - £7.7 (TSB 20.2%)

Despite blanking in 9 out of his last 10 games (7 in a row), I'm backing Defoe to get back amongst the goals in GW33. Over the last 2 GWs, he has shown signs of re-finding his goal scoring form, registering 11 shots (7 inside the box). If Defoe can replicate this attacking output, it is likely that he will find the back of the net against a West Ham defence that has conceded 48 shots inside the box over the past 5 GWs. Also, Sunderland need to win if they are going to mount a late season run to get out of the relegation zone, so that will act as motivation to push for victory in this match.

Score Predictions

TOT 5 (Kane x2, Alli, Eriksen, Dembélé) | BOU 0

CRY 3 (Zaha, Townsend, Benteke) | LEI 1 (Slimani)

EVE 1 (Lukaku) | BUR 0

STK 4 (Shaqiri x2, Arnautovic, Berahino) | HUL 3 (Niasse, Hernandez, Evandro)

SUN 1 (Defoe) | WHU 0

WAT 2 (Deeney, Niang) | SWA 1 (J.Ayew)

SOU 2 (Tadić, Redmond) | MCI 1 (Aguero)

WBA 1 (Chadli) | LIV 1 (Coutinho)

MUN 0 | CHE 0

MID 0 | ARS 2 (Sanchez, Welbeck)

Star Picks XI

If you have any questions about GW33 or need some advice on your team, please don’t hesitate to contact me on twitter – I’m happy to help.

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Enjoy this week’s Premier League action and good luck to all FPL managers for GW33.

By Sebastian Candido
(Twitter: @sebcandido)