Thursday, 19 January 2017

Seb's GW22 Preview (Part 1)

Liverpool vs Swansea

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

Neither team are currently in blistering form, but Liverpool are clearly still poised to take the 3 points. Over the past 9 GWs, Swansea have averaged 3 goals conceded per game, and Liverpool, who are averaging over 2 goals scored per game over this period, should add to this poor defensive record. Despite the return to fitness of Philippe Coutinho (£8.3 – TSB 17.2%), it is unlikely that he will start this weekend after playing 65 minutes in the FA Cup on Wednesday. This should see Adam Lallana (£7.7 – TSB 27.2%) granted a more advanced role once again and if he can link up with Roberto Firmino (£8.4 – TSB 10.6%) and possibly Daniel Sturridge (£9.7 –TSB 0.9%), Swansea could be in for a torrid match.

Score Prediction:

Liverpool 2 (Sturridge, Lallana) | Swansea 0



Bournemouth vs Watford

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

With only 1 win in their past 9 games, Watford have been very poor recently. In comparison, Bournemouth’s form has been up and down over this period, with 3 wins and 1 draw. The last 3 times these sides have met, each match has ended in a draw, however, this game could break that streak. Despite the inconsistent results, Bournemouth’s attack has looked threatening in each game. In particular, Junior Stanislas (£5.2 – TSB 3.1%) has been in top form recently, with 4 assists and 1 goal in his last 5 matches where he has played 60+ minutes. Also, Ryan Fraser (£4.8 – TSB 1.5%) who has 3 goals and 4 assists over his past 6 games and Benik Afobe (£5.6 – TSB 0.7%) who has registered a shot every 28.8 minutes over his past 2 appearances, will be important attacking players for the Cherries. Even though attacking options from Bournemouth seem excellent options this GW, their defenders could be less secure. The signing of Tom Cleverley (£5.1 – TSB 0.1%) will add a much needed spark to Watford’s attack and he could be one player capable of breaching the Bournemouth defence.

Score Prediction:

Bournemouth 3 (Afobe x2, Stanislas) | Watford 1 (Cleverley)



Crystal Palace vs Everton

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

After a comprehensive 4-0 victory over Manchester City last GW, Everton will roll up to Selhurst Park full of confidence. The performances of Romelu Lukaku (£9.6 – TSB 26.2%) who has 4 goals in his past 5 games against the Eagles, as well as Kevin Mirallas (£6.0 – TSB 2.3%), 2 goals and 2 assists in his past 4 league games, will be central to Everton’s attacking play. However, looking at the history of this match-up, the past 3 games have ended in draws, and Crystal Palace have only lost once in their past 7 games against Everton. As a result, Everton may have a harder time defeating Palace than Manchester City. New signing Jeff Schlupp (£4.8 – TSB 0.2%) will bring much needed defensive qualities as well an attacking threat to the Palace backline, and may be afforded an advanced role in GW22, thus heightening his appeal as an out of position (OOP) option. Jason Puncheon (£5.2 – TSB 0.7%) put in two outstanding performances against Everton last season (5 shots, 13 chances created and 1 assist) so he may also be one to look out for this GW.

Score Prediction:

Crystal Palace 1 (Schlupp) | EVE 2 (Lukaku, Mirallas)



Middlesbrough vs West Ham

Predicted Line Up:




Match Info:

Without the toxic Payet, West Ham put in arguably their best performance of the season last GW. After shifting to a 4-2-3-1 in the second half, the Hammers were clinical in front of goal and put Crystal Palace to the sword, which will give them lots of confidence. In particular, Michail Antonio (£6.8 – TSB 10.6%) stood out in GW21, picking up 3 assists, and he will be a big threat to the Middlesbrough defence, as will Andy Carroll (£6.2 – TSB 2.9%),who has registered a shot every 22.1 minutes over his last 5 starts. Middlesbrough will be heading into this game with 3 clean sheets in their past 5 games, so they too will be confident of achieving a positive result in this match. However, another clean sheet looks unlikely for Middlesbrough, as indicated by the history of this match up, where they have only kept 1 clean sheet in their past 10 matches against the Hammers. As a result, they will be looking to Alvaro Negredo (£6.4 – TSB 15.3%), who has 2 goals in his last 2 home games, to fire their way to victory.

 Score Prediction:

Middlesbrough 2 (Negredo, Stuani) | West Ham 2 (Carroll, Lanzini)



Stoke vs Manchester United

Predicted Line Ups:






Match Info:

After back to back wins, Stoke will be hoping to continue this form in GW22. However, this will not be easy for them, as they will face a Manchester United side who look to be finally hitting their straps. Nevertheless, Stoke will gain confidence from their history against the Red Devils at bet365 Stadium. The Potters are undefeated in their last 3 home games against United, winning 2 games and scoring 5 goals. This brings Stoke attacking players Peter Crouch (£4.8 – TSB 3.1%), who has 3 goals and 2 assists in his past 2 games, and Marko Arnautovic (£7.1 TSB - 0.7%), 2 goals and 4 shots inside the box last GW, into consideration. Despite attacking options from Stoke in this match being viable options, defensive options are not. United have only failed to score once in the last 21 matches against Stoke. Therefore, Zlatan Ibrahimovic (£11.6 – TSB 42.6%), who has 7 goals in his past 5 away games and also Henrikh Mkhitaryan (£9.0 – TSB 2.5%) are options for FPL managers in GW22.

Score Prediction:

Stoke 1 (Arnautovic) | Manchester United 1 (Ibrahimovic)   



West Brom vs Sunderland

Predicted Line Ups:



Match Info:

After a big defeat last GW, West Brom will be looking to bounce back against Sunderland in GW22. Formwise, the Baggies are clear favourites. Currently sitting 8th on the table, they have not lost to a team placed below them since GW4. This brings Saloman Rondon (£6.8 – TSB 8.9%), who has 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 2 home games and lower placed teams, and also Matt Phillips (£5.8 – TSB 20.1%), who has only blanked once against a lower placed team since GW4, into contention for our FPL squads. Also, Sunderland have conceded 10 goals in their last 3 away games, so this heightens the appeal of attacking players from West Brom. On the defensive front, returns for West Brom defenders also seem highly likely. Over the past 4 games against Sunderland, West Brom have kept 3 clean sheets. Furthermore, Sunderland have only scored 6 goals in 10 games away from home this season, which is the equal second worst record in the league. Therefore, due to this, Chris Brunt (£5.0 – TSB 2.3%) seems a standout option this GW.

Score Predictions:

West Brom 3 (Rondon x2, Chadli) | Sunderland 0



Manchester City vs Tottenham

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

This match involves two teams in completely different situations. On one hand, Man City look like they are lacking confidence and seem devoid of ideas. On the other hand, Spurs seems indestructible at the moment, and are crushing every team they face. As a result, this game poses an interesting prospect. If City can come out and defend compactly, this will put them in a good position. This will give them a solid foundation to attack, and David Silva (£8.7 – TSB 2.2%) could be a key player for the Citizens due to his ability to find a seemingly impossible pass and weave in and out of tight areas. However, based on what we have seen recently, this doesn’t appear to be the most likely scenario. Instead, Spurs could come out again and play City off the park, just as they have done to West Brom, Chelsea, Watford and Southampton recently. Such a scenario is evidenced by the previous meeting between these sides, where Tottenham have beaten City in their last 3 matches, scoring 8 goals. As a result, Harry Kane (£11.1 – TSB 18.9%) will be central to Tottenham’s push for victory, as will Christian Eriksen (£8.7 – TSB 15.9%) and Danny Rose (£6.0 – TSB 9.6%).

Score Prediction:

Manchester City 0 | Tottenham 2 (Kane, Eriksen)



Southampton vs Leicester

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

It seems very hard to pick a winner in this game. Both sides come into GW22 in poor form. Southampton have lost 4 in a row, conceding 13 goals, and Leicester only have 1 win in their last 6 games. Each side will also not have their strongest starting team available. Southampton have Austin and Boufal ruled out, Bertrand, Van Dijk and Davis carry knocks and Jay Rodriguez and James Ward-Prowse  may be suffering fatigue after starting in the FA Cup mid-week. For Leicester, they will again be missing their AFCON stars Armartey, Mahrez and Slimani. Nevertheless, each team has players that have the potential to win the game for their team. Southampton’s Dusan Tadic (£7.0 – TSB 1.3%) registered 7 shots last GW, including 5 in the box, and picked up an assist last time he played at St Mary’s. For Leicester, Jamie Vardy (£9.6 – TSB 7.7%) has the potential to stand out this GW. Last season against Southampton, he registered 2 goals, 11 shots and 4 chances created in 2 matches, so this could be the game where he finds form again.

Score Predictions:

Southampton 2 (Tadic, Redmond) | Leicester 2 (Vardy, Musa)



Arsenal vs Burnley

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

Both sides come into this game on the back of impressive victories in GW21. However, away from home, Burnley’s determination and fight may not be enough to pick up any points against an Arsenal side with the second best attack and fourth best defence in the league. Arsenal are undefeated in their last 7 games against the Clarets, scoring 14 goals and keeping 4 clean sheets. In fact, in Arsenal’s past 5 games at home to Burnley, they have netted 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. As a result, Alexis Sanchez (£11.9 – TSB 37.0%) and Mesut Ozil (£9.5 – TSB 7.2%) are likely to be amongst the points this GW. For Burnley, they will be relying on shot stopping king Tom Heaton (£4.9 – TSB 17.2%) to keep them in the game, just as he has done against Liverpool, Man Utd and Southampton this season.         

Score Prediction:

Arsenal 3 (Sanchez x2, Ozil) | Burnley 0



Chelsea vs Hull

Predicted Line Ups:




Match Info:

Despite a confidence building win against Bournemouth last GW, Hull’s best performance in GW22 may not even be enough to overcome league leaders Chelsea. The Blues have won 9 out of their 10 home games this season, and have scored 28 goals at Stamford Bridge. The history of this match is a strong indication of how this the game will pan out - Hull have never beaten Chelsea. As a result, practically all of Chelsea’s players have the potential to greatly reward their managers in GW22.

Score Prediction:


Chelsea 5 (Hazard, Pedro, Willian, Alonso, Batshuayi) | Hull 0




STAY TUNED FOR PART 2 - COMING SOON
Here, I will discuss my top captain picks for GW22 and reveal the GW22 Start Picks XI


By Sebastian Candido

(Twitter: @_FFM_Seb)