Saturday, 19 April 2014

#FlyBuy - GW35

How was DGW34 for you then? Plenty of green arrows and a late season charge up your mini-league or the overall rankings I hope?

The less said about my current form the better, suffice to say I was hoping to be inside the Top 500 by now. Instead I find myself just outside the Top 12k. Yes, I have "done an Arsenal" - and it STINGS!!

But how did my FlyBuy pick get on last week? Hopefully you remember that I went for Marouane Chamakh, and although he didn't set the DGW alight, he did manage to outscore many more popular picks from the striker options. Including my own captain (Lukaku).

In actual fact, he returned the joint 8th highest return of ALL fwds with 7 pts. Considering the 7 players who outscored him were Wickham, Podolski, Jerome, Rodallega, Giroud, Ba and Vydra it kind of puts into context how well Chamakh did on a terrible week for the "big" names.

Most FPL managers will have had at least 2 from Aguero (5 pts), Suarez (4 pts), Lukaku (4 pts), Dzeko (3 pts) or Sturridge (2 pts), and not many of us would have predicted such a poor return from those names.

So, who did go with my recommendation and bring Chamakh in then? Nobody?!? Why you ungrateful wretchs!! But wait a minute...what's that? Somebody had Chamakh? And not only that, he captained him?!?

Who was this crazy man? Step forward and take the applause Mr John Bremner (@jbremner 91). It was a gutsy pick, and if I am to be totally transparent with you all, had nothing whatsoever to do with him reading last week's FlyBuy article! But great minds think alike, the difference is John was confident enough to do it, whereas I copped out and went with Lukaku. 



But enough backslapping, I guess I should move onto this week's pick. Well, he comes from a team who started the season promising so little, and who have not let us down...sorry Chief!

I actually really rate this guy, and its a shame he hasn't done better as he is certainly capable. But, he needs better players around him and supplying him. He was screwed when his team's star player was flogged in January and despite decent points returns, he's been out injured since GW30.

I'm talking about Newcastle United striker Loic Remy. Although still yellow flagged, I think he will make an appearance vs Swansea at St James Park and I predict it will be a goalscoring return. Without Cabaye, it's more difficult for the Magpies to create much, but on his day Remy is different gravy.

He's after a move, so he knows he needs to remind clubs of his talent, so I'd consider bringing him in as your 3rd fwd option for the remainder of the season. 4.9% ownership make him an interesting differential don't you think?

FLY

@meet_the_gadfly

Friday, 18 April 2014

#CalledIt Differential Pick - GW35

While #CalledIt pick for GW34 Samir Nasri did not set the world on fire with his 10 point return in the double game week, he for sure also did not disappoint (in FPL terms at least). After scoring a late goal in a surprising draw with Sunderland, he did also have a chance to seal it moments later, but just missed it. And with news coming in that Silva is a major doubt for Monday's clash with West Brom (and Yaya nowhere near of being back), he sure seems like a keeper for the time being.

My differentials favorites this week are Mohamed Salah (should keep playing with the UCL semis just around the corner and we all know that Mourinho has not actually written the title off), Aaron Ramsey (his actual ownership is waaaaay lower and he just seems to make Arsenal look better) and Emanuel Adebayor. Despite the fact that the first two are intriguing choices I put my faith in the big guy. Despite a badly missed penalty in GW34, the Spurs are scoring for fun lately and with the Danish On/Off D-Lite (and former guest on #CalledIt), Christian Eriksen in such great form, he will probably score plenty of goals between now and the end of the season. Emanuel Adebayor, #CalledIt for GW35.


GW35 FPL #JackInTheBox

Well the past two JackInTheBox picks have been forgetful.  After conceding an average of 2.5 goals over their previous 4 away fixtures, West Brom marched into Carrow Road for GW33 and kept #JackInTheBox pick Robert Snodgrass and the rest of the Canaries scoreless while walking away with a 1-0 victory.  Didn't see that coming. 

Last week I went with Lewis Holtby, who strangely enough was playing Norwich, but at home in front of the Craven Cottage faithful. What a disaster. I felt lucky that of the 6 matches played simultaneously, it was the match shown here via the main NBC Sports channel. My anticipation and excitement soon turned sour as I watched him put in a lazy, uninspired performance before Magath had seen enough and wisely subbed him off early. I can sum up his performance in 3 sentences. 1) His defending was soft and embarrassing. 2) His idea of supporting runs was jogging up the field at a constant (slow) pace in a straight line, all the while in a cutoff passing lane. 3) He created Fulham's lone goal with a nice free kick, but Sidwell leaped just high enough to get the assist that Holtby almost surely would have bagged had it not skimmed off the top of Sidwell's head. Oh well.

So this week I'm kinda stuck. Fixture-wise, it is by far the hardest week to choose a #JackInTheBox pick. None of the bottom 8 play each other, and just about all of them have difficult fixtures. As a matter of fact, they all are up against teams in the top 10 of the table. Swansea at Newcastle and Cardiff hosting Stoke are the best bets, but neither has a viable attacking player with 5% or less ownership who is healthy. Cardiff's clean sheet record has been abysmal lately, even with home comforts. Swansea have been junk lately and I have no optimism on that front either.





FPL GW35 #JackInTheBox: Shane Long

Can't think of a week where it's been tougher to select a #JackInTheBox, but I'm going with Mr. Long.  This preview of the May 17 FA Cup Final should be a dandy, and Hull have the firepower to give Arsenal some trouble; especially at home.  With any luck we'll get to see Shane do some odd version of the Irish jig as he celebrates what I hope will be the first #JackInTheBox success in quite some time.

Hope you all have a great gameweek!

Walt

Chief's FPL Team - Gameweek 35

Disclaimer: *FPLH reserves the right to change this team at any time. Any changes will most likely be confirmed on FPLH's Twitter account.


2 FREE TRANSFERS WERE AVAILABLE FOR GW35.

TRANSFERS:

STURRIDGE & Y TOURE OUT
AGUERO & ERIKSEN IN


Despite seeing a minor overall green arrow, I only scored 61 in #DGW34:


Things can only get better? I bloomin' well hope so!

The GW 35 Temptations:

SHINJI KAGAWA - Has managed some game time of late with his last 2 outings yielding 2 assists.  Perhaps one week to early for me but worth buying with DGW37 in mind for others.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN - I bought him at the right time mid-season, then sold him at the right time.  I failed to re-buy him at the right time! Has good form & fixtures.  Carry on sir!

MOHAMMAD SALAH - He could prove to be a super differential.  Should get PL game time with Chelsea also still caught up in Europe.  Has form on side, but is also a rotation risk.

The GW 35 Transfers:

After being let down by a swathe of injuries during DGW34 I decided that affirmative action was required.  Y. Toure could be out for two GWs at least, so out he went.  Sturridge may be a doubt v Norwich and then faces Chelsea (and lacks form) so out he went too.  Aguero doesn't have form on his side but he has good upcoming games.  With the World Cup around the corner and City still in the title hunt he will be looking to resume normal scoring service.  As for my other transfer, I decided to buy a non-DGW37 player.  Eriksen has been awesome of late and it made sense for me to buy him, especially with his run in.

The Captain:

Until I bought Aguero, I was going to join the "Captain Suarez as he is facing Norwich bandwagon".  He is sure to score, but I wanted a player that was more of a "differential" to wear the armband.  City at home score for fun and with their match being on a Monday Night (#MNF), I was given extra incentive to captain Aguero.

The Personal Competitive Context:

I hammered poor Bryan over two quarter final legs and am through to the semi-finals of the FPL Dugout Champions League.  The semi-final draw hasn't been done yet, but I will hoping to face my old "nemesis" Tony.  On a side note, my inaugural FPLH Battle Royal competition will start in GW 35 and I am seeded in that

Perch of the Pundits:



Top 32 Seeds of the FPLH Battle Royal Competition 2014

Team MemberTeamScoreSeed
FazleFFPB23041
SteveFF24722392
TommyATFPL21993
SamuelIndependent21914
StoosherATFPL21755
AdamFF24721726
FPL DoctorFPL Doc21697
KielIndependent21608
UnfantasyUnfantasy21599
SebbFPL Help215510
FlyFPL Hints214911
FPL DailyFPL Daily214512
MatejFPL Hints213913
DarshATFPL213514
ShikarFPLMaestro213315
ChrisFS213216
ChiefFPL Hints213117
RichieFF247212318
AtikFFPB212219
FPL UpdatesFPL Updates211720
SlenoFPLD211221
EnzoFFPB211222
Space MonkeyFS210623
MitoFF247210024
MarcoFPLD209525
Back2BasicsFPLMaestro209526
KenFF247208927
FPL DifferentialFPLMaestro208928
Jan HIndependent208729
GummiATFPL208530
FPL PlayerFPLD207531
LllamaATFPL206532

Kindly generated by Back2Basic5

Thursday, 17 April 2014

Fantasy Football Hints - Gameweek 35

#REJECT (R):

J. Olsson (WBA)

Only kept 2 clean sheets during 2014
WBA concede 1.63 PL goals on average when playing away.
City score approximately 3.38 PL goals on average when playing at home.


#PUNT (P):

C. Eriksen (TOT)

Has scored 4 and assisted 3 in his last 4 PL outings.
Fulham have conceded 2.35 PL goals per game on average away this season.
Tottenham have been scoring 1.41 PL goals per game on average at home this season.


#HOTPICK (H):

L. Suarez (LIV)

Scored or assisted in his last 8 PL games.
Suarez has a good scoring record against Norwich.
Liverpool have been scoring 2.74 PL goals per game on average.


FPLH's GW Star Picks:

Cech

Terry
Kompany
Caulker

Nasri
Eriksen
Mutch
Sterling

Suarez
Aguero
Adebayor

Subs:
Speroni
Delph
Vlaar
C. Davies


FANTASY FORECAST*:

TOTTENHAM TO BEAT FULHAM 2-1.
VILLA & SOUTHAMPTON TO DRAW 0-0.
CARDIFF TO BEAT STOKE 2-1.
NEWCASTLE TO BEAT SWANSEA 2-1.
WEST HAM & PALACE TO DRAW 1-1.
CHELSEA TO BEAT SUNDERLAND 2-0.
LIVERPOOL TO BEAT NORWICH 3-1.
ARSENAL TO BEAT HULL 2-1.
MAN UNITED TO BEAT EVERTON 2-1.
MAN CITY TO BEAT WEST BROM 3-0.

*NOT TO BE USED FOR BETTING PURPOSES

FPLH & Friends Battle Royal Contest 2014 - Entrants

Chief @FPLHints (FPLH)
Matej (FPLH)
Walt (FPLH)
Fly (FPLH)
Dolphin (FPLH)
Geezer (FPLH/Geezer)
Bantasy Jake (FPLH/Bantasy)

Marco (FPLD)
Sleno (FPLD)
FPLPlayer (FPLP)
Football Maniacs (FMan)
Marc (FD)

Avids (FPLHelp)
Sebb (FPLHelp)
Judger (FPLHelp)
FPLHelp (FPLHelp)

Tommy (ATFPL)
Stoosher (ATFPL)
Darsh (ATFPL)
Lllama (ATFPL)
Gummi (ATFPL)
AK (ATFPL)

FootyStuff (FS)
Chris (FS)
Space Monkey (FS)
Potty (FS)

Mito (FF247)
Steve (FF247)
Adam (FF247)
Ken (FF247)
Richie (FF247)

Maestro (FPLM)
Henry B2B (FPLM)
Shikar (FPLM)
FPL Differential (FPLM)
Devesh (FPLM)

Craig (FFF)
Unfantasy Football (Unfan)
FPL Doctor (FPLDoc)
FPL Aid (FPLA)
FPL Daily (FPLDA)
FPL Updates (FPLU)

Atik FFPB (FFPB)
Ehsan FFPB (FFPB)
Fazle (FFPB)
FPL nOracle (FFPB)
Enzo (FFPB)

Masroor (Independent)
Lala's Lads (Independent)
Callum (Independent)
Ben S (Independent)
Samuel (Independent)
Pathletico Morbid (Independent)

Kiel (Independent)
Jan H (Independent)
Dan M (Independent)
ParkedTheBus (Independent)
Arjun (Independent)
Henry (Independent)

Pundits Tally: - 47  
non-Pundits Tally - 12

Total Entrants: 59

Competition Format:

FORM IS KEY.  CLASS DOESN'T MATTER.  Scores will not roll over and will be reset for each Gameweek.  In the event of level GW points (with hits factored in), the tie break will be the team ranked highest overall in FPL at the end of that GW will be placed higher in our competition too.  There are no prizes - this competition is just for fun (and bragging rights!).  The competition starts in GW35.  The top 32 FPL points scorers (with hits factored in) will progress to GW36.  The top 16 FPL points scorers (with hits factored in) will progress to GW37.  The top 8 FPL points scorers (with hits factored in) will progress to the GW38 "final".  The highest FPL points scorer from the remaining 8 entrants will be crowned "FPLH Battle Royal Champion 2014"!

GAME ON